Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a694185804f3c922ee5fad44b745a5a2dff0351a1d51322c415d538fc6a4eb4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,964
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,845
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,964 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4269…e056backed No | 74c | 824.74$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.6 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd36…a832backed Yes | 60c | 791.19$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.87 | 650 | 43.4%282 W · 368 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 32c | 500.82$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.24 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 39c | 442.4$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.32 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x186c…f982backed No | 43c | 370$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.23 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 8c | 358.19$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.37 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 24c | 261.85$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.77 | 633 | 23.9%151 W · 482 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -45%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86bd…2c98backed Yes | 69c | 260.7$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.14 | 151 | 31.1%47 W · 104 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…6719backed No | 39c | 249.99$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.3 | 920 | 28.7%264 W · 656 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e99…b482backed Yes | 59c | 244$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.52 | 425 | 44%187 W · 238 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0390…da52backed Yes | 58c | 239.41$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 44c | 209.98$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.27 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 41c | 183.81$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.89 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b6…0400backed Yes | 43c | 175.97$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked Yes | 80c | 163$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.4 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 43c | 156.69$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.02 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 29c | 151.89$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.39 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 40c | 150.23$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.44 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 56c | 149.06$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.13 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8be7…8f75backed No | 42c | 148.43$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.41 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 42c | 147.05$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.55 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 32c | 138.76$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.91 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 54c | 137$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.71 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 38c | 135$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.46 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe48b…fdc2backed No | 24c | 134.53$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.33 | 619 | 29.1%180 W · 439 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 33c | 128.67$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.73 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 40c | 120.68$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.57 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 61c | 120$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.27 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed Yes | 59c | 108.92$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.53 | 818 | 48.5%397 W · 421 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5484…84e8backed No | 37c | 99.8$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.34 | 111 | 69.4%77 W · 34 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed22…6450backed No | 50c | 97.24$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.17 | 431 | 39.2%169 W · 262 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 45c | 91.51$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.54 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x515c…7587backed No | 40c | 89.15$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.6 | 196 | 48%94 W · 102 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…ea54backed Yes | 56c | 87$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.72 | 284 | 41.2%117 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x858b…a2cebacked Yes | 61c | 86.45$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.33 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 60c | 80$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.04 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57fe…94f9backed Yes | 63c | 79.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b2dbbacked Yes | 55c | 76.36$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.35 | 462 | 40.5%187 W · 275 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 61c | 73$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.53 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 48c | 69.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.44 | 800 | 50.1%401 W · 399 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234c…90dbbacked Yes | 29c | 69.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 581 | 38.9%226 W · 355 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cf…65d5backed No | 29c | 68.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.96 | 78 | 17.9%14 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 22c | 65.16$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.7 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed No | 40c | 64.95$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.91 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1096…a162backed Yes | 49c | 61.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.51 | 475 | 38.1%181 W · 294 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…a467backed Yes | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 607 | 39.7%241 W · 366 L | +27.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc06d…6732backed Yes | 65c | 60$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1735…0319backed No | 19c | 58.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.32 | 1,480 | 15.6%231 W · 1,249 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22d9…ee63backed Yes | 65c | 57.72$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.52 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed Yes | 61c | 56.79$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.38 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1894…a936backed Yes | 58c | 56$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.38 | 667 | 58%387 W · 280 L | +48.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa99…29afbacked No | 42c | 54.54$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.48 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 46c | 54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 45c | 53.52$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 40c | 50.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.2 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked No | 41c | 50.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.84 | 834 | 59.8%499 W · 335 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Yes | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 50 | 82%41 W · 9 L | +8.3wins | +0.17per pick | 65cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x29df…aeecbacked No | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 140 | 43.6%61 W · 79 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 33c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 643 | 33.4%215 W · 428 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc7…6c9abacked Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a87…a55abacked Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 1,112 | 35.1%390 W · 722 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 40c | 48.21$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.14 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed Yes | 75c | 47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.31 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed No | 42c | 45.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.27 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 41c | 45.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.68 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 39c | 42.73$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.98 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ec…42f8backed Yes | 58c | 42.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.33 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f92…7e2abacked No | 43c | 40.93$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc179…5cdebacked Yes | 61c | 40.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 289 | 46%133 W · 156 L | +14.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…8262backed Yes | 57c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.64 | 379 | 42.2%160 W · 219 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 40c | 39.95$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.81 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaeb…0d2fbacked Yes | 49c | 38.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 528 | 28%148 W · 380 L | -57.1wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc053…6041backed No | 44c | 38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.44 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 43c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.06 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x570c…91c5backed No | 43c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.08 | 711 | 59.2%421 W · 290 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5157…fdbcbacked No | 57c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 533 | 53.1%283 W · 250 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 70c | 34.72$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8db6…8679backed Yes | 74c | 33.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4c…5ff7backed Yes | 69c | 33.17$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d69…9f70backed Yes | 70c | 32.25$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.48 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc540…21f6backed Yes | 56c | 32.21$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1da4…e65cbacked Yes | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb074…9fb3backed Yes | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 224 | 54.5%122 W · 102 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 36c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x177b…6e61backed No | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 124 | 58.1%72 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c2…8010backed No | 57c | 28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 1,271 | 47.6%605 W · 666 L | -25.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 43c | 27.96$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82e7…f552backed No | 75c | 27.21$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 354 | 41%145 W · 209 L | -19.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd85…7a3dbacked No | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 1,050 | 51.2%538 W · 512 L | -99.4wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8d2e…f022backed Yes | 60c | 24.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 180 | 33.9%61 W · 119 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x516f…8352backed No | 62c | 24.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.29 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 68cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked Yes | 56c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd212…5182backed Yes | 56c | 22.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 71c | 22.01$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.34 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 76c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4264…1706backed Yes | 73c | 21.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 408 | 71.8%293 W · 115 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x932b…a773backed Yes | 61c | 21.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd39…1beabacked Yes | 71c | 21.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 66c | 20.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca69…7153backed Yes | 59c | 20.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 10?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on June 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on June 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 10?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.