Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on June 26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb9fc8a362bd4cfd05ef9a0a117779655b6a2cecf1d11b28c1f21563ba52366cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,877
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,139
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,877 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ae0…7483backed Yes | 33c | 1,468$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.86 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 32c | 1,002$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.68 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed No | 69c | 350$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.5 | 559 | 54.7%306 W · 253 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 34c | 334.04$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.3 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…27c9backed No | 69c | 251.28$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.67 | 632 | 55.7%352 W · 280 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 65c | 242$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.51 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…bbaabacked No | 72c | 229.24$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.19 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 64c | 218.5$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.19 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 63c | 216.11$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.57 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 75c | 215$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.83 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2acf…f9bbbacked Yes | 26c | 194.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.96 | 1,227 | 33.9%416 W · 811 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 65c | 191.6$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.64 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 74c | 189.34$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.37 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed Yes | 10c | 188$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 1,010 | 40.3%407 W · 603 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 35c | 177.94$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.07 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 77c | 175.39$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.71 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed Yes | 36c | 156.09$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.07 | 755 | 46.1%348 W · 407 L | -32.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x271e…8eb9backed No | 62c | 153.1$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.18 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfecc…77dabacked Yes | 32c | 150$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 404 | 38.1%154 W · 250 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6122…7b8fbacked No | 68c | 150$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Yes | 36c | 143.89$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 29c | 136.46$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.05 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 67c | 127.61$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.48 | 538 | 55%296 W · 242 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c3…20e0backed No | 59c | 108$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.33 | 637 | 57.6%367 W · 270 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5937…ae8dbacked Yes | 14c | 107.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 185 | 67.6%125 W · 60 L | +28.7wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 58c | 102.57$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 67c | 102.35$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.16 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 66c | 100.09$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.64 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb5…9400backed No | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 527 | 58.8%310 W · 217 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4476…c5fcbacked Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 425 | 47.5%202 W · 223 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 57c | 99.98$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.99 | 1,082 | 65.6%710 W · 372 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f2…ef25backed Yes | 30c | 96$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 55c | 93.35$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.01 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed Yes | 34c | 93$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.62 | 1,126 | 51.2%577 W · 549 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe48b…fdc2backed Yes | 21c | 92.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 619 | 29.1%180 W · 439 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 71c | 91.39$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 1,088 | 55.5%604 W · 484 L | -27.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 69c | 90$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.25 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec3d…0a55backed Yes | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 144 | 34%49 W · 95 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 17c | 86.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed Yes | 22c | 84.04$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed Yes | 37c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 869 | 49.8%433 W · 436 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed Yes | 29c | 78.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.17 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 41c | 75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked Yes | 31c | 74.57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…3cc9backed Yes | 43c | 72.12$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.07 | 701 | 48.4%339 W · 362 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 61c | 71$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.82 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 68c | 70$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…c19ebacked Yes | 36c | 69.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 612 | 49.5%303 W · 309 L | +30.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 39c | 68.03$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd10d…8f16backed Yes | 28c | 65.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…a3bbbacked Yes | 26c | 63.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 876 | 29.2%256 W · 620 L | -53.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked Yes | 28c | 60.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd0…22c8backed Yes | 19c | 56.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70c4…1008backed Yes | 35c | 54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 333 | 50.2%167 W · 166 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 40c | 53.49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a56…be30backed No | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 464 | 52.2%242 W · 222 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33e8…dc93backed Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 239 | 41.4%99 W · 140 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c8…0ed9backed No | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd90…4bfcbacked No | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 577 | 47%271 W · 306 L | +40.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…25cabacked Yes | 41c | 49.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 122 | 33.6%41 W · 81 L | -10.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…598dbacked Yes | 35c | 47.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 487 | 43.7%213 W · 274 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7419…594abacked Yes | 35c | 47.65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 79 | 25.3%20 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…dbffbacked Yes | 21c | 47.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 1,122 | 24.4%274 W · 848 L | +24.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd514…bbdfbacked Yes | 32c | 47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 579 | 48.4%280 W · 299 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…5d4fbacked Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 644 | 46.4%299 W · 345 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 65c | 45.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.83 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 27c | 44.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xcff7…2fb1backed Yes | 36c | 44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 214 | 51.9%111 W · 103 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 69c | 36.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked No | 67c | 30.92$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 648 | 59.1%383 W · 265 L | -21.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 74c | 30.59$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cf…464bbacked No | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 1,115 | 63.4%707 W · 408 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc29…66b4backed No | 76c | 27.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 57c | 26.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b4d…dd64backed Yes | 39c | 26.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 30cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5579…2db1backed No | 69c | 24.32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 138 | 52.9%73 W · 65 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18ae…314cbacked No | 69c | 21.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 1,211 | 29.8%361 W · 850 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…7367backed No | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 1,896 | 61.5%1,166 W · 730 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8e…aa69backed No | 57c | 20.05$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.62 | 308 | 49%151 W · 157 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb5…d2c8backed No | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…59d3backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 159 | 61.6%98 W · 61 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…9e92backed No | 62c | 18.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 581 | 52%302 W · 279 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 59c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f12…59ddbacked No | 60c | 16.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.68 | 940 | 66.4%624 W · 316 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on June 26?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on June 26?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 26°C on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 27°C or higher on June 26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.