Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on June 26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x38135796924167bfdb9b03a268903583e063c796a9c89502e5f25f2c708f768a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,081
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,107
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,081 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ae0…7483backed Yes | 41c | 8,711$3,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,115.62 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 35c | 1,450$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.51 | 1,858 | 42.7%793 W · 1,065 L | +50.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 61c | 1,207$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.3 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 52c | 990.06$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.92 | 8,337 | 49.2%4,098 W · 4,239 L | +271.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…ea54backed Yes | 46c | 800$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 63c | 720$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.3 | 1,335 | 50.9%680 W · 655 L | -35.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 41c | 624.3$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.84 | 10,952 | 37.4%4,094 W · 6,858 L | +432.6wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed Yes | 45c | 537.04$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.29 | 571 | 43.4%248 W · 323 L | -32.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Yes | 40c | 465.43$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.21 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 42c | 430$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.61 | 5,255 | 49.8%2,618 W · 2,637 L | -163.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed Yes | 43c | 393.73$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.43 | 3,201 | 53.6%1,716 W · 1,485 L | -101.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 35c | 354.55$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.93 | 5,625 | 47.8%2,687 W · 2,938 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 31c | 270$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.42 | 6,905 | 53.1%3,666 W · 3,239 L | +422.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed No | 65c | 254.89$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.65 | 1,203 | 48.9%588 W · 615 L | -24.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb1…6644backed Yes | 42c | 195$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.85 | 135 | 40%54 W · 81 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 56c | 194.97$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.68 | 2,176 | 53.1%1,156 W · 1,020 L | +36.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 53c | 191.6$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.74 | 5,836 | 60%3,502 W · 2,334 L | -112.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed Yes | 38c | 186.66$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.84 | 1,023 | 40.1%410 W · 613 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 53c | 185.74$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.29 | 4,467 | 65.1%2,907 W · 1,560 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca07…6269backed No | 60c | 180$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 716 | 49.4%354 W · 362 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 32c | 177.62$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.92 | 6,891 | 39.4%2,717 W · 4,174 L | +269.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 36c | 175.39$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.45 | 1,632 | 60.7%990 W · 642 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed Yes | 41c | 163.69$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.93 | 802 | 47.3%379 W · 423 L | -29.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 45c | 159.65$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.63 | 12,545 | 46.9%5,879 W · 6,666 L | -39.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd514…bbdfbacked Yes | 35c | 150$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 579 | 48.4%280 W · 299 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 54c | 140.71$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.48 | 7,233 | 9.3%675 W · 6,558 L | -1,116.1wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f5…8fd4backed Yes | 38c | 140$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.6 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09c2…8210backed Yes | 75c | 133.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.18 | 576 | 54.3%313 W · 263 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 11c | 131.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 4,313 | 53.6%2,311 W · 2,002 L | +158.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 46c | 127.61$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.94 | 538 | 55%296 W · 242 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 51c | 125$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.05 | 4,148 | 56.7%2,351 W · 1,797 L | +51.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 25c | 123.13$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.79 | 2,304 | 27%622 W · 1,682 L | -41.0wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…8055backed Yes | 40c | 120$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.8 | 923 | 55.9%516 W · 407 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33e8…dc93backed Yes | 44c | 120$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 254 | 40.9%104 W · 150 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c4…1008backed No | 55c | 116.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.51 | 333 | 50.2%167 W · 166 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16c9…17afbacked Yes | 33c | 116.27$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.9 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5937…ae8dbacked Yes | 61c | 107.37$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.67 | 185 | 67.6%125 W · 60 L | +28.7wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…1a88backed Yes | 39c | 106$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.66 | 999 | 49.5%495 W · 504 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 54c | 105$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 2,043 | 61.7%1,261 W · 782 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 43c | 104.92$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.04 | 7,592 | 37.5%2,849 W · 4,743 L | +96.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 33c | 104$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.33 | 5,003 | 53.5%2,678 W · 2,325 L | +31.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb5…9400backed No | 56c | 102.73$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.72 | 577 | 57.7%333 W · 244 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1583…bddebacked No | 56c | 102.17$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.97 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 62c | 100.7$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.1 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.37 | 855 | 48.7%416 W · 439 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa5…c42fbacked Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53c0…33a5backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 226 | 45.1%102 W · 124 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…42efbacked Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.5 | 155 | 45.2%70 W · 85 L | -13.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe48b…fdc2backed Yes | 35c | 99.98$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.19 | 619 | 29.1%180 W · 439 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 54c | 95.71$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.74 | 3,810 | 65.8%2,508 W · 1,302 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4a…31e3backed Yes | 34c | 95.32$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.46 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +5.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 40c | 94.97$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.51 | 2,548 | 45.4%1,157 W · 1,391 L | +23.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed Yes | 52c | 92.95$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.15 | 2,223 | 56.1%1,247 W · 976 L | +54.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd90…4bfcbacked Yes | 39c | 88.8$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 621 | 46.2%287 W · 334 L | +40.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 39c | 88.77$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2,362 | 20.6%486 W · 1,876 L | -63.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 61c | 88$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.68 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 46c | 82.37$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.94 | 4,442 | 53.7%2,387 W · 2,055 L | -17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd10d…8f16backed No | 60c | 80.37$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.89 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 46c | 79.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.19 | 6,166 | 49.3%3,038 W · 3,128 L | -117.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab9…8ba6backed Yes | 32c | 79.66$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 304 | 42.8%130 W · 174 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc196…4af6backed Yes | 42c | 79.66$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.37 | 270 | 56.7%153 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75d3…3f0ebacked No | 57c | 78.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.29 | 209 | 58.4%122 W · 87 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb86b…aabfbacked Yes | 44c | 77.45$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 158 | 68.4%108 W · 50 L | +12.7wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 31c | 75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.75 | 1,301 | 32.9%428 W · 873 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 4,627 | 58.3%2,696 W · 1,931 L | -114.2wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 66c | 75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 3,126 | 61.8%1,931 W · 1,195 L | -30.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 61c | 74.02$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.12 | 5,489 | 56%3,075 W · 2,414 L | -123.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…c19ebacked Yes | 49c | 71.93$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.93 | 637 | 50.1%319 W · 318 L | +32.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9551…ca44backed Yes | 43c | 70$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.1 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed No | 60c | 66.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 2,467 | 35.7%880 W · 1,587 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6d…b81fbacked No | 67c | 66.16$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.33 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Yes | 48c | 61.87$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 424 | 47.9%203 W · 221 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…eb02backed Yes | 41c | 61.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 383 | 46.7%179 W · 204 L | +16.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5579…2db1backed No | 59c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 138 | 52.9%73 W · 65 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb924…0803backed Yes | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 260 | 67.3%175 W · 85 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 800 | 50.1%401 W · 399 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 34c | 60$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 4,009 | 47.3%1,897 W · 2,112 L | +71.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 52c | 57.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3646…ba5abacked Yes | 60c | 56$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 410 | 41.5%170 W · 240 L | +33.3wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef98…b586backed Yes | 27c | 55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.15 | 923 | 34.1%315 W · 608 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd0…22c8backed Yes | 34c | 54.17$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.67 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 60c | 54$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.37 | 2,439 | 58%1,414 W · 1,025 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45e7…d77cbacked No | 61c | 52.93$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.29 | 515 | 52%268 W · 247 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…4053backed No | 68c | 51.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.9 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb8…a530backed Yes | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34fd…15a0backed Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,184 | 57.4%680 W · 504 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4af9…3144backed Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 219 | 50.7%111 W · 108 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…3cc9backed Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 701 | 48.4%339 W · 362 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd47…c395backed Yes | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc743…4cb7backed Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21d3…8c5fbacked Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01e3…c67fbacked Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb31a…8817backed Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 182 | 54.4%99 W · 83 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…5d4fbacked Yes | 40c | 49.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.82 | 706 | 45.8%323 W · 383 L | +16.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…25cabacked Yes | 31c | 49.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.58 | 122 | 33.6%41 W · 81 L | -10.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x23db…cf1cbacked Yes | 79c | 49.65$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed Yes | 34c | 47.9$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.71 | 2,250 | 57%1,282 W · 968 L | +65.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c8…0ed9backed Yes | 41c | 47.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.18 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd31d…f8bfbacked No | 52c | 47.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.77 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on June 26?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 26°C on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 27°C or higher on June 26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.