World Politics · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x904013cba3ddcde2e68c00201f30858344863784b76a73b9d830cc4a623d5aa0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,299
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,022
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,299 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 50c | 466.4$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.17 | 352 | 58%204 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 50c | 382.94$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.29 | 218 | 44%96 W · 122 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Yes | 48c | 340.17$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.18 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b4…48b2backed Yes | 72c | 320.9$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.83 | 148 | 42.6%63 W · 85 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…03fbbacked Yes | 44c | 311.62$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.62 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…44f0backed Yes | 47c | 263.55$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80f5…2b27backed Yes | 46c | 255.58$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 30c | 219$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.01 | 399 | 52.4%209 W · 190 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…3fa2backed Yes | 38c | 200.9$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.9 | 93 | 37.6%35 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0d…8c4dbacked Yes | 41c | 200$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.12 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9da…f9debacked Yes | 78c | 178.46$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.76 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3290…53cbbacked Yes | 45c | 170.96$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.76 | 90 | 20%18 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…6719backed Yes | 61c | 161.62$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.55 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…3472backed No | 44c | 159.79$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.85 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 53c | 158.52$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.7 | 168 | 34.5%58 W · 110 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 22c | 157.13$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…704cbacked Yes | 46c | 154.67$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.75 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3721…3abebacked Yes | 53c | 152.67$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.32 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecc…c745backed No | 47c | 140.85$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.66 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…cd1dbacked Yes | 37c | 136.22$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.32 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 49c | 133.5$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.66 | 63 | 30.2%19 W · 44 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 53c | 128.52$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.79 | 394 | 14%55 W · 339 L | -71.9wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 39c | 122.36$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.93 | 275 | 21.8%60 W · 215 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 15c | 120$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 266 | 32.7%87 W · 179 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 26c | 117.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 167 | 55.1%92 W · 75 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 54c | 109.32$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.65 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 35c | 108.98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.09 | 406 | 48.8%198 W · 208 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 15c | 108.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 145 | 21.4%31 W · 114 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 44c | 108.77$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.41 | 444 | 28.8%128 W · 316 L | -67.6wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b2dbbacked Yes | 42c | 108.68$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.74 | 186 | 38.2%71 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 59c | 104.4$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 234 | 59.8%140 W · 94 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 128 | 16.4%21 W · 107 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 45c | 97$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.35 | 463 | 30.2%140 W · 323 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c3…20e0backed No | 55c | 97$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.35 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 56c | 90$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.43 | 157 | 66.2%104 W · 53 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 58c | 87.63$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.83 | 323 | 54.2%175 W · 148 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x188a…9fafbacked No | 54c | 84.15$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.54 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca06…b2c4backed Yes | 46c | 82.36$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.36 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed Yes | 43c | 81$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.17 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…a467backed Yes | 40c | 80$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.67 | 167 | 38.3%64 W · 103 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 41c | 75.32$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.64 | 392 | 31.9%125 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…c6ddbacked No | 54c | 74.6$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed No | 55c | 73.8$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.77 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 42c | 70.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.4 | 441 | 38.1%168 W · 273 L | +27.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…f6a0backed Yes | 38c | 70$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51f0…186cbacked Yes | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…1821backed Yes | 47c | 63.32$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.41 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 45c | 62.46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.46 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 58c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 360 | 55.3%199 W · 161 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8370…e1efbacked Yes | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 173 | 45.1%78 W · 95 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c70…34c4backed No | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf9…1ffabacked No | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6606…0195backed Yes | 41c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d69…9f70backed Yes | 50c | 59.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 45c | 58.89$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.33 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 56c | 57.57$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.32 | 343 | 54.8%188 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 50c | 57.02$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.43 | 164 | 50.6%83 W · 81 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 20c | 54.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e7…8ffbbacked Yes | 46c | 53.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.89 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d57…11f8backed Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +151.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfea5…ee06backed Yes | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +107.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbb…f7ffbacked No | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed Yes | 45c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36ff…f2a6backed Yes | 42c | 47.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.61 | 122 | 38.5%47 W · 75 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 50c | 46.42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.34 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 57c | 46$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.18 | 263 | 55.9%147 W · 116 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8842…dfa7backed Yes | 39c | 45.83$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.83 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb496…2657backed No | 60c | 45.52$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 57c | 44.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 144 | 67.4%97 W · 47 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 54c | 44.18$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 327 | 48.6%159 W · 168 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…8262backed Yes | 47c | 44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.32 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb04…8b26backed Yes | 46c | 43.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.91 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd090…3bc5backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b4…73cdbacked No | 56c | 41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 50c | 40.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c70…edf3backed No | 59c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe590…a5d4backed Yes | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 34cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d7…f207backed No | 61c | 39.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d2…0789backed Yes | 50c | 39.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a0…9d29backed Yes | 38c | 39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.99 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 48c | 37.34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.34 | 181 | 58%105 W · 76 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…dc28backed Yes | 41c | 37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 63 | 30.2%19 W · 44 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1c…ebffbacked No | 56c | 36.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f43…a1dfbacked Yes | 44c | 36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 46c | 35.85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 145 | 53.8%78 W · 67 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cad…4f78backed Yes | 41c | 35.34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed No | 61c | 32.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 106 | 40.6%43 W · 63 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b92…ddcdbacked Yes | 39c | 31.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.26 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb074…9fb3backed Yes | 36c | 31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.84 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2429…02d9backed No | 47c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked No | 56c | 30.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.06 | 131 | 55.7%73 W · 58 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f3…52d8backed No | 58c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed Yes | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 36c | 29.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 82 | 35.4%29 W · 53 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1096…a162backed Yes | 40c | 29.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86c2…8010backed No | 57c | 27.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f33…da59backed No | 48c | 27.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83bb…b01fbacked Yes | 46c | 27.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3580…714ebacked No | 61c | 25.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 11?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on June 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on June 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.