Premier League · resolved market
Swansea City AFC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32fa6a262acbc3d83f92d622dbe9584a8fb386007a900d5227ebe44acd0c869f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $93,320
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $111,203
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,320 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac47…d234backed Over | 59c | 37,868$22,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,710.52 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 43c | 33,161$14,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,337.79 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd12c…f2d4backed Over | 55c | 25,297$13,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,388.29 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 42c | 10,031$4,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,216.09 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 44c | 9,862$4,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,346.07 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 45c | 7,400$3,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,330 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Over | 51c | 1,971$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.71 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 51c | 1,967$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.37 | 239 | 26.4%63 W · 176 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 47c | 1,110$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.59 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Under | 4c | 799.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Under | 45c | 771.11$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Under | 44c | 574.2$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.06 | 139 | 39.6%55 W · 84 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 45c | 503.59$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 390 | 52.6%205 W · 185 L | +19.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 501$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.49 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…f4cdbacked Under | 52c | 483.54$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.44 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…525abacked Under | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 56c | 446.43$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.43 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc274…6d59backed Over | 47c | 427.66$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.66 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 49c | 408.05$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.2 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2af2…ec6fbacked Over | 45c | 400$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 399 | 48.4%193 W · 206 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 42c | 378.67$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.37 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Over | 40c | 374.08$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.45 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 41c | 350$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.5 | 518 | 47.3%245 W · 273 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 57c | 349.59$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.6 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9869…e817backed Under | 42c | 346.68$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Under | 46c | 335.24$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.66 | 96 | 27.1%26 W · 70 L | -8.7wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1a…d5a3backed Under | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Under | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d12…a4c4backed Over | 25c | 213.33$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.98 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Under | 42c | 202.21$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.59 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1110…0123backed Under | 41c | 153.05$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.75 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 41c | 150$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…338abacked Under | 61c | 144.26$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -6.4wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 35c | 128.33$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.96 | 241 | 58.1%140 W · 101 L | +34.1wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c7…d11ebacked Under | 42c | 126.6$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 44c | 97$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.26 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…188dbacked Under | 56c | 76.79$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under | 45c | 70.91$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.91 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 44c | 61.36$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd944…07d5backed Under | 42c | 60.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.21 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under | 44c | 54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 273 | 54.9%150 W · 123 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 198 | 53%105 W · 93 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 39c | 49.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 351 | 34.8%122 W · 229 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf628…ba6fbacked Over | 53c | 39.23$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.31 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 43c | 38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 181 | 39.2%71 W · 110 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Under | 44c | 36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 282 | 55.7%157 W · 125 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Under | 44c | 36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 321 | 58.6%188 W · 133 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 279 | 55.9%156 W · 123 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 41c | 33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 362 | 59.1%214 W · 148 L | +23.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked Under | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 129 | 51.2%66 W · 63 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed6a…841ebacked Under | 42c | 29.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 44c | 27.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 48c | 26.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…43bbbacked Under | 44c | 25.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 375 | 54.9%206 W · 169 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Swansea City AFC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Swansea City AFC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Swansea City AFC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Swansea City AFC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.