Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Abilene Christian Wildcats vs. California Baptist Lancers: O/U 134.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f673eb965cdc7688ff770b67fa2474e248cc1baead405301b0ee9da4165e328
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,820
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,820
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,820 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Over | 52c | 29,075$15,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,119.24 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Under | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200.15 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7e…0f7abacked Under | 48c | 7,385$3,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,839.98 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 4,828$2,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,534.97 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Under | 48c | 3,095$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,594.95 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Over | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 48c | 2,389$1,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,242.28 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 51c | 2,200$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121.98 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 48c | 2,080$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.91 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Under | 47c | 1,815$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.89 | 274 | 50%137 W · 137 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4a…0502backed Over | 54c | 1,641$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.3 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 49c | 1,127$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.78 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Under | 46c | 1,075$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.5 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Under | 49c | 691.48$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.65 | 279 | 55.2%154 W · 125 L | +22.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 47c | 650.4$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.71 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Over | 53c | 278.6$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.66 | 273 | 50.5%138 W · 135 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93a2…5181backed Under | 49c | 271.43$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.43 | 131 | 41.2%54 W · 77 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c7…d11ebacked Under | 48c | 163.96$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.58 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 48c | 150$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…de59backed Over | 54c | 150$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.5 | 119 | 58.8%70 W · 49 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad96…20eebacked Under | 46c | 150$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Under | 47c | 139.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.19 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 51c | 117.64$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 505 | 46.9%237 W · 268 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Under | 48c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 48c | 63.01$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31d7…42c1backed Under | 49c | 59.67$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.43 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Under | 48c | 49.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 49c | 29.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.28 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…0859backed Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Abilene Christian Wildcats vs. California Baptist Lancers: O/U 134.5this page
- Abilene Christian Wildcats vs. California Baptist LancersCalifornia Baptist Lancers won
- Spread: California Baptist Lancers (-9.5)Abilene Christian Wildcats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.