Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Abilene Christian Wildcats vs. California Baptist Lancers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a2a37fb4dc4cd8250ce93a7d9b8f9dd68f1e246699f907251397cc83a1eefd5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- California Baptist Lancersof Abilene Christian Wildcats, California Baptist Lancers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,896
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,501
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,896 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x067f…e041backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 20c | 5,000$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.8 | 301 | 39.2%118 W · 183 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked California Baptist Lancers | 79c | 4,318$3,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.32 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Abilene Christian Wildcats | 19c | 1,451$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.77 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Abilene Christian Wildcats | 19c | 725.87$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.17 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Abilene Christian Wildcats | 20c | 571.04$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.69 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc5…7708backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 36c | 556.84$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 110 | 28.2%31 W · 79 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked California Baptist Lancers | 57c | 329.87$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.87 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 19c | 296.53$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.31 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed California Baptist Lancers | 67c | 227.7$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.86 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 41c | 216.68$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.84 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked California Baptist Lancers | 64c | 191.67$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.51 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 19c | 190.77$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.34 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 39c | 184.73$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 16c | 182.36$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 26c | 148.54$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.25 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c19…859cbacked California Baptist Lancers | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Abilene Christian Wildcats | 16c | 97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed California Baptist Lancers | 79c | 89.44$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 19c | 87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Abilene Christian Wildcats | 19c | 75.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71fb…b277backed California Baptist Lancers | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Abilene Christian Wildcats | 19c | 60.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf628…ba6fbacked Abilene Christian Wildcats | 17c | 60.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed California Baptist Lancers | 77c | 57.61$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 23c | 45.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked California Baptist Lancers | 75c | 36.36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…5d96backed California Baptist Lancers | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc757…f18cbacked California Baptist Lancers | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.19per pick | 66cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71ac…5fd6backed California Baptist Lancers | 80c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Abilene Christian Wildcats vs. California Baptist Lancersthis page
- Abilene Christian Wildcats vs. California Baptist Lancers: O/U 134.5Under won
- Spread: California Baptist Lancers (-9.5)Abilene Christian Wildcats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.