Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: California Baptist Lancers (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c4707155bd4e2f0037dd5cc31ffdaca16911e03fc26c612d9c4160cfaa3d55f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Abilene Christian Wildcatsof California Baptist Lancers, Abilene Christian Wildcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,695
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,695
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,695 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked California Baptist Lancers | 48c | 5,045$2,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,402.45 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.99 | 301 | 39.2%118 W · 183 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Abilene Christian Wildcats | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Abilene Christian Wildcats | 52c | 1,239$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.4 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed California Baptist Lancers | 48c | 630$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.4 | 267 | 40.8%109 W · 158 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed California Baptist Lancers | 48c | 570$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.6 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed California Baptist Lancers | 48c | 450$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed California Baptist Lancers | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed California Baptist Lancers | 48c | 305$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.1 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed California Baptist Lancers | 48c | 217.41$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.85 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1c…9b07backed California Baptist Lancers | 48c | 210$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed California Baptist Lancers | 48c | 156.25$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaa…3ea5backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 53c | 141.51$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.51 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed California Baptist Lancers | 48c | 140$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 53c | 104.72$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.22 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed California Baptist Lancers | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed California Baptist Lancers | 48c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked California Baptist Lancers | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 226 | 56.2%127 W · 99 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98df…41b7backed California Baptist Lancers | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Abilene Christian Wildcats | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 306 | 52%159 W · 147 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: California Baptist Lancers (-9.5)this page
- Abilene Christian Wildcats vs. California Baptist LancersCalifornia Baptist Lancers won
- Abilene Christian Wildcats vs. California Baptist Lancers: O/U 134.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.