Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc028d308dd22338a0e55d522b229a870364b8f0c6e98f8eec593e37c6a24062f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nigma Galaxyof Nigma Galaxy, Zero Tenacity
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,121
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,581
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,121 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Nigma Galaxy | 71c | 10,436$7,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,042.51 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Zero Tenacity | 30c | 4,920$1,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,466.02 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbb…39dabacked Zero Tenacity | 25c | 2,222$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.5 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Zero Tenacity | 42c | 1,758$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.49 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Nigma Galaxy | 63c | 1,606$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3532…3711backed Zero Tenacity | 24c | 1,141$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.8 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +7.0wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x03a2…7e3ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 80c | 896.5$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.3 | 122 | 48.4%59 W · 63 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Zero Tenacity | 31c | 785.14$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.71 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b4…6313backed Nigma Galaxy | 76c | 555.21$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.82 | 161 | 60.2%97 W · 64 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 504.14$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.88 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5c…7b06backed Zero Tenacity | 20c | 478.47$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.91 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc983…ebf0backed Zero Tenacity | 20c | 384.5$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.36 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Zero Tenacity | 20c | 316.5$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Nigma Galaxy | 70c | 311.43$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.46 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Zero Tenacity | 20c | 276.66$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.33 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Zero Tenacity | 31c | 243.77$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.74 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Zero Tenacity | 25c | 240$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nigma Galaxy | 73c | 205$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.75 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Nigma Galaxy | 61c | 195$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.45 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Zero Tenacity | 24c | 189.93$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.74 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17ca…87d1backed Nigma Galaxy | 69c | 173.48$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.48 | 195 | 52.8%103 W · 92 L | -15.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddd…d755backed Nigma Galaxy | 73c | 155.56$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.22 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1532…1dadbacked Zero Tenacity | 17c | 150$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 226 | 54.4%123 W · 103 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed Zero Tenacity | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 305 | 34.4%105 W · 200 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e86…3c9fbacked Zero Tenacity | 31c | 133.13$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 65c | 126.47$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.27 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Zero Tenacity | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Zero Tenacity | 44c | 121.85$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.01 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Zero Tenacity | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Zero Tenacity | 34c | 96.49$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.85 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed Zero Tenacity | 24c | 92.57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.41 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Zero Tenacity | 18c | 83.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 305 | 43%131 W · 174 L | +18.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Nigma Galaxy | 70c | 81.32$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Nigma Galaxy | 64c | 77.21$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…89d0backed Nigma Galaxy | 71c | 76.42$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.42 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Zero Tenacity | 28c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Zero Tenacity | 27c | 62.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Zero Tenacity | 31c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Zero Tenacity | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 176 | 38.6%68 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 61c | 59.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Zero Tenacity | 37c | 54.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c7…d11ebacked Zero Tenacity | 32c | 51.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd7…6c52backed Zero Tenacity | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b2…2e58backed Zero Tenacity | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc840…9cf6backed Nigma Galaxy | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Zero Tenacity | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Nigma Galaxy | 76c | 34$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7402…3ac2backed Nigma Galaxy | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 75c | 16.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.04 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group Stagethis page
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 WinnerNigma Galaxy won
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 WinnerZero Tenacity won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.