Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Bouzkova (-1.5) vs Jones (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a9e1ce381f5b35081432605b48c2f11d86dc2c7b331f1c54fa69590ec863c39
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bouzkovaof Bouzkova, Jones
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,862
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,768
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,862 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f92…1862backed Bouzkova | 56c | 4,529$2,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,987.05 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Jones | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 578 | 42.4%245 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Jones | 44c | 999.99$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7055…9717backed Jones | 44c | 793$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.24 | 222 | 52.3%116 W · 106 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Jones | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Jones | 45c | 411.6$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.22 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Jones | 43c | 406.99$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.01 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Jones | 45c | 382.22$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Jones | 44c | 264.15$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.23 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…a07fbacked Jones | 45c | 225.65$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.54 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Jones | 45c | 225$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.25 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Jones | 44c | 175$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.25 | 587 | 45.7%268 W · 319 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Jones | 45c | 97.78$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac15…75a4backed Bouzkova | 56c | 89.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.53 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…f2efbacked Bouzkova | 56c | 89.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.38 | 178 | 59%105 W · 73 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Jones | 45c | 75.56$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Jones | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Jones | 44c | 24.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Bouzkova (-1.5) vs Jones (+1.5)this page
- Roland Garros WTA: Francesca Jones vs Marie BouzkovaMarie Bouzkova won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.