Tennis · resolved market
Roland Garros WTA: Francesca Jones vs Marie Bouzkova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01eb8f7f66be5014fbac2dfac643b39f597d74bf5a3bd89705e1e31ba4d3774d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marie Bouzkovaof Francesca Jones, Marie Bouzkova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $145,251
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $169,595
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $145,251 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Francesca Jones | 1c | 25,076$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.62 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Francesca Jones | 8c | 7,825$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.4 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x979f…4032backed Marie Bouzkova | 77c | 6,493$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,493.39 | 101 | 62.4%63 W · 38 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Marie Bouzkova | 78c | 6,447$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,446.66 | 363 | 46.8%170 W · 193 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Francesca Jones | 6c | 5,615$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.64 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Francesca Jones | 15c | 4,947$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.79 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Marie Bouzkova | 76c | 4,137$3,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.9 | 567 | 57.1%324 W · 243 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…5715backed Francesca Jones | 12c | 3,033$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.31 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Francesca Jones | 23c | 3,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 689 | 35%241 W · 448 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Francesca Jones | 24c | 2,945$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.04 | 578 | 42.4%245 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcd…b8dbbacked Francesca Jones | 2c | 2,230$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.75 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Francesca Jones | 24c | 2,083$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fae…0d19backed Marie Bouzkova | 77c | 2,014$1,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.19 | 428 | 39.7%170 W · 258 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Francesca Jones | 22c | 2,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 193 | 39.4%76 W · 117 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d96…7c16backed Francesca Jones | 23c | 2,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.99 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Francesca Jones | 6c | 1,888$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.34 | 278 | 36.7%102 W · 176 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6f…959abacked Francesca Jones | 22c | 1,708$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Francesca Jones | 4c | 1,625$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 314 | 36.9%116 W · 198 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Francesca Jones | 8c | 1,554$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.65 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Francesca Jones | 25c | 1,422$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Francesca Jones | 12c | 1,208$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.77 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Francesca Jones | 23c | 1,195$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.93 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Francesca Jones | 23c | 1,050$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.5 | 538 | 43.5%234 W · 304 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Francesca Jones | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 379 | 44.6%169 W · 210 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Francesca Jones | 20c | 999.99$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf54c…e6ccbacked Francesca Jones | 3c | 999.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 60 | 25%15 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd764…ae83backed Francesca Jones | 3c | 936.81$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Francesca Jones | 21c | 871.87$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.14 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Marie Bouzkova | 74c | 695.73$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.89 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Francesca Jones | 2c | 581.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Francesca Jones | 23c | 549.99$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.5 | 1,679 | 48.1%808 W · 871 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Francesca Jones | 23c | 514.45$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.32 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x287d…38febacked Francesca Jones | 24c | 486.54$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.77 | 374 | 21.9%82 W · 292 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5f…cf7cbacked Francesca Jones | 26c | 444.73$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.5 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…adffbacked Marie Bouzkova | 77c | 400$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 252 | 44.4%112 W · 140 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Francesca Jones | 22c | 370.57$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.53 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed Francesca Jones | 22c | 300.51$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.42 | 146 | 37.7%55 W · 91 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Francesca Jones | 11c | 298.56$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.01 | 992 | 44.7%443 W · 549 L | -29.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Francesca Jones | 23c | 272.41$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.99 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Francesca Jones | 23c | 263.84$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.68 | 1,729 | 48.9%845 W · 884 L | +53.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Marie Bouzkova | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Marie Bouzkova | 77c | 256.41$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.97 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Marie Bouzkova | 77c | 232.47$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.87 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8b…5e62backed Francesca Jones | 7c | 206.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 239 | 32.6%78 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb347…5166backed Marie Bouzkova | 77c | 191.14$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.96 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4d…cea5backed Francesca Jones | 12c | 169.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Marie Bouzkova | 77c | 168.83$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.83 | 711 | 65.1%463 W · 248 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Marie Bouzkova | 77c | 168.83$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.83 | 849 | 68.4%581 W · 268 L | +25.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x332e…df71backed Marie Bouzkova | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 429 | 34.7%149 W · 280 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Francesca Jones | 12c | 109.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Marie Bouzkova | 75c | 106.64$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.66 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Francesca Jones | 12c | 101.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x692b…b4f2backed Francesca Jones | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 457 | 44.2%202 W · 255 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Francesca Jones | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Francesca Jones | 23c | 87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Francesca Jones | 15c | 80.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d2…4a24backed Francesca Jones | 19c | 79.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 529 | 10%53 W · 476 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1400…765dbacked Francesca Jones | 16c | 75.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 327 | 32.1%105 W · 222 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x686b…ea8fbacked Marie Bouzkova | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 40 | 72.5%29 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Marie Bouzkova | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Francesca Jones | 23c | 64.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59ae…ffb1backed Francesca Jones | 25c | 54.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 112 | 61.6%69 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Francesca Jones | 22c | 53.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c38…c367backed Francesca Jones | 24c | 52.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 28cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3d…f2ffbacked Francesca Jones | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 292 | 37.3%109 W · 183 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x831d…0705backed Marie Bouzkova | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 265 | 63.8%169 W · 96 L | -12.1wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed Marie Bouzkova | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1,168 | 49.1%573 W · 595 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Francesca Jones | 24c | 41.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…9158backed Marie Bouzkova | 76c | 33.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.04 | 788 | 40.6%320 W · 468 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6207…2356backed Marie Bouzkova | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd7…db07backed Marie Bouzkova | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 192 | 51.6%99 W · 93 L | -14.6wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f7…6d1ebacked Marie Bouzkova | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc061…a297backed Marie Bouzkova | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3006…2c59backed Marie Bouzkova | 77c | 17.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.11 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Roland Garros WTA: Francesca Jones vs Marie Bouzkovathis page
- Set Handicap: Bouzkova (-1.5) vs Jones (+1.5)Bouzkova won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.