MLB · resolved market
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. SSG Landers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb84e5e9a7b06f2e7fb9a75c7e40d9b0d571d2b78c2379f44b78691afd4e9419c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lotte Giantsof Lotte Giants, SSG Landers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,986
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,963
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,986 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked SSG Landers | 73c | 692.4$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.22 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Lotte Giants | 32c | 437.99$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.35 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked Lotte Giants | 32c | 420.13$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.15 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed Lotte Giants | 26c | 400$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296 | 269 | 48.7%131 W · 138 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…43d0backed Lotte Giants | 52c | 385.96$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.96 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed SSG Landers | 48c | 350.96$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.61 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed SSG Landers | 66c | 317.67$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.17 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Lotte Giants | 27c | 299.64$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.94 | 123 | 39%48 W · 75 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed SSG Landers | 58c | 233.83$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.54 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…bb62backed Lotte Giants | 53c | 188.91$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.91 | 165 | 43%71 W · 94 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed SSG Landers | 51c | 170.1$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.7 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Lotte Giants | 47c | 163.34$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.38 | 186 | 48.4%90 W · 96 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed SSG Landers | 44c | 160.25$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.79 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked SSG Landers | 61c | 118$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.41 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Lotte Giants | 39c | 114$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.54 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed SSG Landers | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafca…92b4backed SSG Landers | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked SSG Landers | 66c | 91$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 401 | 46.1%185 W · 216 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Lotte Giants | 35c | 88$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Lotte Giants | 46c | 87.94$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.27 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked SSG Landers | 75c | 75.32$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.16 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked SSG Landers | 41c | 75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed SSG Landers | 68c | 66.34$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.15 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1bb…6cc9backed Lotte Giants | 51c | 59.21$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.21 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked SSG Landers | 58c | 53.25$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.13 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Lotte Giants | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Lotte Giants | 22c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked SSG Landers | 45c | 49.93$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.47 | 295 | 47.1%139 W · 156 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x768d…d230backed Lotte Giants | 35c | 48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa80b…02d6backed SSG Landers | 52c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked SSG Landers | 50c | 42.01$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.14 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Lotte Giants | 52c | 37.07$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.63 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked SSG Landers | 49c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 374 | 44.4%166 W · 208 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed SSG Landers | 69c | 28.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed SSG Landers | 72c | 27.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5db…b42dbacked SSG Landers | 80c | 25.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 68cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1151…e010backed Lotte Giants | 50c | 21.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4d…8626backed SSG Landers | 50c | 21.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.