TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$138,741
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$140,475

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $138,741 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3fd9…1ef0backed Over51c79,735$40,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,152.58850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Under52c33,849$17,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,462.615745.6%26 W · 31 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd29…77aebacked Over54c14,502$7,787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,714.342934.5%10 W · 19 L-4.8wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-33.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Under46c10,000$4,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,639.991553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+30.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8d9…48a6backed Under47c8,893$4,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,220.32933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-30.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under49c7,919$3,879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,879.452,52242.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L+54.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under49c5,935$2,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,908.23542.9%15 W · 20 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed Under49c4,756$2,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,330.62425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-44.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under49c3,564$1,753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,752.511,76450.2%886 W · 878 L+31.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over45c2,790$1,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,534.451,30956.8%743 W · 566 L+66.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under48c2,607$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,239.925,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under49c2,355$1,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,153.511,25451.4%644 W · 610 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38f0…2768backed Over52c1,868$971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$896.493650%18 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36f2…dab4backed Under49c1,801$883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882.71825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-52.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Under48c1,709$817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$816.613928.2%11 W · 28 L-8.2wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-42.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under49c1,651$809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809.3440156.4%226 W · 175 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under49c1,651$809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809.3422656.6%128 W · 98 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under49c1,651$809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809.3419055.3%105 W · 85 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under49c1,649$808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808.3439058.2%227 W · 163 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c4d…33acbacked Over46c1,563$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$840.39333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8644…ad01backed Under49c1,540$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754.58250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under48c1,469$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.2240448%194 W · 210 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5097…2abbbacked Over52c1,118$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6316…6fb5backed Under53c1,108$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under49c969.4$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.0113956.1%78 W · 61 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Under49c613.8$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.325151%26 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6394…9749backed Over49c593.51$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.693432.4%11 W · 23 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-30.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1c74…0d16backed Over50c583.84$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.639152.7%48 W · 43 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+2.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Under50c577.58$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.7912552.8%66 W · 59 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under50c553.36$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.572,42438%920 W · 1,504 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Over45c537.98$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.2415119.2%29 W · 122 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-30.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under49c520$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.081,65150.9%840 W · 811 L+5.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f5…c161backed Over66c505.02$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.958834.1%30 W · 58 L+0.3wins0.00per pick34cpaid+10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Under49c485.67$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.981250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69b9…a5d5backed Over45c429.78$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.381060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Over53c399.34$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.6515133.8%51 W · 100 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under49c392.61$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.531,11746.2%516 W · 601 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under51c391.23$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.1518644.6%83 W · 103 L-0.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under48c358.33$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.691,09843.8%481 W · 617 L-14.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over62c288.53$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.7796846.1%446 W · 522 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbffb…a60ebacked Under45c250$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.66643.9%29 W · 37 L-7.9wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-20.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under50c232$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.821,64736.2%596 W · 1,051 L-34.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over52c225.54$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.2689245%401 W · 491 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0764…41d1backed Over45c214.8$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.142360.9%14 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6077…3231backed Under49c197.84$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.942147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under49c197.82$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9347860.3%288 W · 190 L+15.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ffe…9150backed Under36c189.51$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.91968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over53c183.36$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.1817440.2%70 W · 104 L-12.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-16.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under49c179$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.7116454.3%89 W · 75 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc93c…95cabacked Under49c173.16$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.043464.7%22 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under49c162.71$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.7731960.2%192 W · 127 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Under49c162.44$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.5632560.3%196 W · 129 L+20.0wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Under49c160.51$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.6512244.3%54 W · 68 L+9.6wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Under49c159.42$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.356467.2%43 W · 21 L+6.8wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+29.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x9f28…d173backed Under52c158.7$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.164459.1%26 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over47c155.7$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.5234560%207 W · 138 L+49.3wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+34.1%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over67c149.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5012659.5%75 W · 51 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under49c143.45$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.2934558.6%202 W · 143 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under49c142.92$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.3315358.8%90 W · 63 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1792…118abacked Over50c120.79$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.815068%102 W · 48 L+16.7wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+16.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under49c120.75$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.424656.9%140 W · 106 L-1.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd99a…1f3ebacked Under49c118.65$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.37742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-24.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Under58c118.36$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.222548%12 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+36.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2806…5feebacked Under49c112.8$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.56955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over52c112.7$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.561,11049.5%549 W · 561 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8293…aaeebacked Over43c112.35$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.042441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b08…aaf4backed Under49c109.54$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.681172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+52.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed Under49c102.44$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.639265.2%60 W · 32 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xec3e…11c0backed Under48c100.76$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.362454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2aef…f8dfbacked Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502433.3%8 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97b2…1c44backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under44c99.99$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.9934050.9%173 W · 167 L+19.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Under45c91.93$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.379653.1%51 W · 45 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over53c91.68$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.0933452.7%176 W · 158 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under49c89.61$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.041,97054.4%1,071 W · 899 L+32.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over52c83.7$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.1839561.8%244 W · 151 L+56.1wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+33.3%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over51c78$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.2237562.7%235 W · 140 L+61.4wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+36.3%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x36f9…5445backed Under49c74.19$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.356663.6%42 W · 24 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a39…1a00backed Over45c71.99$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.5910827.8%30 W · 78 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed Over71c71.06$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.95271.2%37 W · 15 L+4.5wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+14.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf08…12a3backed Over45c64.47$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.46650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4c9…a454backed Under49c62.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.474261.9%26 W · 16 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over61c61.89$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.318363.9%53 W · 30 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under49c61.07$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9314247.2%67 W · 75 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under51c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.65152.9%27 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb171…7d2bbacked Under49c59.35$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.084759.6%28 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a01…c0f7backed Under49c59.33$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.071346.2%6 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Under52c56.03$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1415850%79 W · 79 L-14.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over51c55.79$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.31,35645.5%617 W · 739 L+15.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3de…5c06backed Under49c55.26$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.08450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd2d…d7f8backed Over52c54.38$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.11656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ebc…01c6backed Under54c54.02$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.172650%13 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+18%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa24f…7c58backed Over50c53.01$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.416256.5%35 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Over61c52.63$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.5837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under51c52.31$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9147155.8%263 W · 208 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x46d2…6805backed Under50c50.24$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.28068.8%55 W · 25 L+8.0wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x05e6…f081backed Under38c50.05$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.261838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ce4…da39backed Over45c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.53444.1%15 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1548…fe8ebacked Under49c49.46$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.241643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed Over50c48.48$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.246955.1%38 W · 31 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.