Asian League · resolved market
Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x60a24cb52adaa57af19f7e8711a35ffff03248cfd1aa283f564ff1a198ab7fbe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,497
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,520
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,497 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 79c | 1,442$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.11 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Over | 29c | 1,115$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.4 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Over | 17c | 838.41$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.53 | 47 | 17%8 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 19c | 764.85$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.68 | 151 | 19.2%29 W · 122 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 71c | 731.04$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.82 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffb…a60ebacked Under | 70c | 645.21$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.78 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -7.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…a9cebacked Over | 33c | 479.9$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.37 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 32cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…33acbacked Over | 24c | 389.2$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 22c | 372.56$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.17 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 75c | 335.96$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.13 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb7…02d8backed Over | 32c | 299.24$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.76 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 67c | 299$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.67 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 34c | 288.12$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.96 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 31c | 212.69$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.66 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf01…6e5bbacked Over | 16c | 204.68$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.32 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Over | 23c | 194.04$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.58 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 75c | 189.85$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.34 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 67c | 175.31$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.39 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 17c | 167.68$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.51 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 31c | 154.61$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.93 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…4b24backed Under | 66c | 148.42$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 30c | 139.88$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.26 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Over | 34c | 112.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.42 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c74…0d16backed Over | 38c | 99.05$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.53 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfe…9408backed Under | 53c | 97.18$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.67 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Under | 75c | 87.69$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.3 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 28c | 86.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.66 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 31c | 85.29$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.05 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 79c | 73$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 30c | 64.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 31c | 61.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 334 | 52.7%176 W · 158 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 40c | 60.23$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 116 | 61.2%71 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 72c | 51.69$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.47 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3e…8b7cbacked Over | 35c | 48.12$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce4…da39backed Over | 21c | 47.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over | 48c | 47.61$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 79c | 41.16$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.83 | 319 | 60.2%192 W · 127 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be0…6deebacked Over | 34c | 40.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 30c | 39.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Over | 30c | 38.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 241 | 62.2%150 W · 91 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf75b…ed74backed Over | 30c | 36.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -40%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 68c | 29.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.44 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 80c | 20.81$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.26 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Under | 72c | 16.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-1.5)Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC won
- Spread: Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC (-1.5)Shandong Taishan FC won
- Spread: Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC (-2.5)Shandong Taishan FC won
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.