Asian League · resolved market
Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5bff2b9c7a90bcfe3af353eb55e071d77098b53cd70bb4ba9a9e995862a8b20
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,322
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,873
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,322 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc444…2851backed Over | 76c | 3,894$2,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 24c | 969.6$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.41 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 24c | 668.13$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.35 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 25c | 662.82$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.54 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Under | 11c | 449$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.44 | 151 | 33.8%51 W · 100 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x654d…ba8fbacked Under | 24c | 416.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.01 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -52%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 24c | 377.43$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.03 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 24c | 320.13$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over | 78c | 160.67$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.35 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 79c | 124.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Under | 24c | 109.75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.51 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 24c | 106.93$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.66 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Under | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 19c | 96.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 76c | 76$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Under | 24c | 67.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 241 | 62.2%150 W · 91 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 24c | 41.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 24c | 41.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-1.5)Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC won
- Spread: Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC (-1.5)Shandong Taishan FC won
- Spread: Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC (-2.5)Shandong Taishan FC won
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.