MLB · resolved market
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. Lotte Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce1bd8685c2b2392f875a3ece64e943ccf7fd87de712e07f124fe2b50dd3b9f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lotte Giantsof Samsung Lions, Lotte Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,152
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,563
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,152 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9960…a699backed Lotte Giants | 77c | 2,946$2,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.46 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed Samsung Lions | 61c | 1,972$1,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,201.73 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Lotte Giants | 39c | 1,207$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.16 | 208 | 45.2%94 W · 114 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lotte Giants | 62c | 1,121$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.72 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Samsung Lions | 1c | 1,059$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 851 | 35.8%305 W · 546 L | -23.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Samsung Lions | 40c | 740.76$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.52 | 300 | 40.7%122 W · 178 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Samsung Lions | 62c | 728.5$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.03 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf397…f3c8backed Samsung Lions | 61c | 426.23$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Samsung Lions | 23c | 410.15$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.16 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Lotte Giants | 39c | 397.42$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.03 | 326 | 52.5%171 W · 155 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Lotte Giants | 70c | 369.99$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 5,126 | 54.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L | +231.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Lotte Giants | 40c | 294.97$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.9 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -10.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Lotte Giants | 39c | 289.06$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.33 | 172 | 45.9%79 W · 93 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a25…8055backed Lotte Giants | 39c | 287.24$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +94%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Samsung Lions | 33c | 230$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.98 | 1,722 | 50.3%867 W · 855 L | +55.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Lotte Giants | 40c | 225$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 1,167 | 49%572 W · 595 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Samsung Lions | 37c | 223$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.67 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3f…77a4backed Samsung Lions | 7c | 187.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Samsung Lions | 44c | 159.95$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.16 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70bb…10d3backed Lotte Giants | 74c | 142.7$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.07 | 273 | 52%142 W · 131 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Samsung Lions | 38c | 129$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.02 | 752 | 44%331 W · 421 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Samsung Lions | 35c | 110.2$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.39 | 120 | 24.2%29 W · 91 L | -11.8wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Lotte Giants | 39c | 104.41$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.51 | 2,944 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,543 L | +4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Samsung Lions | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 369 | 32.8%121 W · 248 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed Lotte Giants | 39c | 99.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 264 | 44.3%117 W · 147 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Lotte Giants | 39c | 99.39$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.91 | 554 | 48.2%267 W · 287 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5da9…0feabacked Samsung Lions | 16c | 94.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Samsung Lions | 55c | 92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.36 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Lotte Giants | 63c | 86.67$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.07 | 639 | 54.5%348 W · 291 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Lotte Giants | 41c | 82.59$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.43 | 1,803 | 53.8%970 W · 833 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Samsung Lions | 29c | 76.66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 1,813 | 49.1%891 W · 922 L | -26.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Samsung Lions | 56c | 66.98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.68 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Lotte Giants | 39c | 62.32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.02 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d3…8a20backed Lotte Giants | 78c | 62$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 63 | 71.4%45 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Samsung Lions | 39c | 51.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1bb…6cc9backed Samsung Lions | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Lotte Giants | 71c | 47.54$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1047…9e39backed Lotte Giants | 40c | 42.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Lotte Giants | 48c | 41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 881 | 47.8%421 W · 460 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Samsung Lions | 53c | 37.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7a…ebe3backed Lotte Giants | 38c | 36.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.48 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Samsung Lions | 61c | 32.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Lotte Giants | 40c | 31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Samsung Lions | 60c | 30.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 139 | 51.8%72 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Samsung Lions | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11c9…9befbacked Lotte Giants | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…0c34backed Samsung Lions | 61c | 22.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4936…38a6backed Lotte Giants | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b6…9b2cbacked Samsung Lions | 61c | 19.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.