MLB · resolved market
KBO: LG Twins vs. Doosan Bears
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4afe7a1c1e5ef0f44820d4dc93686b7c5e092d588bfd867b0abf411183444dd3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Doosan Bearsof LG Twins, Doosan Bears
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,266
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,512
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,266 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Doosan Bears | 47c | 1,937$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.84 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked LG Twins | 53c | 1,502$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.89 | 457 | 48.6%222 W · 235 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked LG Twins | 39c | 1,379$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.98 | 301 | 40.5%122 W · 179 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9960…a699backed Doosan Bears | 56c | 1,072$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.56 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Doosan Bears | 59c | 826$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.66 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed LG Twins | 41c | 718.15$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.1 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed LG Twins | 53c | 694.04$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.84 | 208 | 45.2%94 W · 114 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Doosan Bears | 59c | 500$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.24 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Doosan Bears | 47c | 350$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.34 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Doosan Bears | 56c | 290.33$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.99 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Doosan Bears | 79c | 201$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.29 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed LG Twins | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf931…516abacked LG Twins | 46c | 143.87$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70bb…10d3backed Doosan Bears | 63c | 143.03$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.57 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc92c…6f15backed Doosan Bears | 51c | 136.51$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.51 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x304a…05ecbacked LG Twins | 19c | 104.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 94 | 25.5%24 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked LG Twins | 37c | 104$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.18 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked LG Twins | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 370 | 32.7%121 W · 249 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed Doosan Bears | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 264 | 44.3%117 W · 147 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e32…c821backed LG Twins | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd770…209dbacked Doosan Bears | 64c | 94.01$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 152 | 48%73 W · 79 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Doosan Bears | 47c | 89.36$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.36 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Doosan Bears | 47c | 84.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.7 | 173 | 46.2%80 W · 93 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d3…8a20backed LG Twins | 56c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 63 | 71.4%45 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed LG Twins | 49c | 51.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.33 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed LG Twins | 37c | 51.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 554 | 48.2%267 W · 287 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa80b…02d6backed Doosan Bears | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1bb…6cc9backed LG Twins | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed LG Twins | 52c | 32.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b6…9b2cbacked Doosan Bears | 47c | 25.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed LG Twins | 50c | 20.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Doosan Bears | 50c | 20.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4936…38a6backed Doosan Bears | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.