TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Will Telstar 1963 win on 2026-02-08?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$42,007
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$43,534

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,007 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes24c7,866$1,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,888.1417146.8%80 W · 91 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes17c2,914$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.897,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes17c2,346$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.812,13045.8%975 W · 1,155 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes20c1,924$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.8683440.8%340 W · 494 L-35.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd502…4d4cbacked No77c990$762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.74254.8%23 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes24c930.34$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.341,44151.1%736 W · 705 L-16.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No76c418.03$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.512,33446.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x258f…6b82backed Yes27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed No78c256.41$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.4114468.8%99 W · 45 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95ba…51ebbacked No80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-23.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6e2…c751backed No79c200$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4210263.7%65 W · 37 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick61cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes23c150.24$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8357019.8%113 W · 457 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes23c113.28$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.714825%12 W · 36 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-26.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes23c100.22$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236822.1%15 W · 53 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick19cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4d5…13eebacked No76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2421473.4%157 W · 57 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick71cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2467050.6%339 W · 331 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe343…5c31backed Yes24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206616.7%11 W · 55 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8deb…0139backed No76c70$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.15100%5 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x555f…7782backed Yes22c69$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.185072%36 W · 14 L+7.6wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+23.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No73c67$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.099058.9%53 W · 37 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No78c66.33$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.681,09850.5%554 W · 544 L-36.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3494…04f4backed Yes21c65.3$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.71933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-48.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x071f…92bdbacked Yes27c63.78$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2220%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked No73c41.06$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.099557.9%55 W · 40 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf2e…c770backed No76c32.89$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.895754.4%31 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b7e…50aabacked No78c23.85$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.253050%15 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed No80c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410252%53 W · 49 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No75c16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,17948%1,046 W · 1,133 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x219a…a647backed No80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.52972.4%21 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick72cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.