Premier League · resolved market
Will Millwall FC win on 2026-03-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c5e3820fca237ed687cafe837c089677aa3f883db5f023d6ae08acf7f1a045f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,070
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,070 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 0c | 11,100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 130 | 5.4%7 W · 123 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 59c | 6,393$3,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,757.94 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 28c | 4,253$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.35 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed No | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed No | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.95 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 42c | 1,474$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.94 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 41c | 1,255$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.82 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 42c | 1,227$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.21 | 495 | 44.2%219 W · 276 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 42c | 1,197$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.25 | 282 | 42.2%119 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 44c | 1,055$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.3 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 40c | 909.19$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.46 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 41c | 874.33$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.85 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 41c | 635.01$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.99 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 40c | 633.94$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.58 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 26c | 509.26$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.82 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed No | 50c | 495$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.5 | 97 | 33%32 W · 65 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 50c | 489$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.5 | 154 | 70.8%109 W · 45 L | +22.5wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 38c | 485.89$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.25 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecad…875cbacked Yes | 43c | 434.81$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.73 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -22%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 41c | 379.54$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.93 | 399 | 48.4%193 W · 206 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Yes | 41c | 336.59$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.59 | 65 | 67.7%44 W · 21 L | +12.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +41%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 4c | 324.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 497 | 53.7%267 W · 230 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42ef…1576backed No | 59c | 295$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.05 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 52c | 289.49$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.42 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 79c | 284.83$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.08 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 40c | 249.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.99 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 121 | 39.7%48 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 327 | 37.6%123 W · 204 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 52c | 237.95$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.82 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 191 | 45%86 W · 105 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…6fb4backed No | 59c | 199.92$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.95 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 43c | 192$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.56 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 43c | 190$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.7 | 432 | 41.9%181 W · 251 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefe…2d45backed No | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 59c | 149.44$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.67 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked No | 50c | 146.4$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 93 | 73.1%68 W · 25 L | +17.6wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 30c | 140.23$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.07 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca5d…ec76backed Yes | 30c | 132.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.49 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked No | 57c | 123.63$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.47 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8b…4154backed Yes | 41c | 122.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.06 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 36cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 78c | 115$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 272 | 27.9%76 W · 196 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Yes | 38c | 90.89$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.45 | 253 | 48.2%122 W · 131 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 59c | 89.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.1 | 207 | 63.8%132 W · 75 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 47c | 89.33$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.62 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed No | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 42c | 76.73$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.83 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6129…f983backed Yes | 47c | 70$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2927…05fcbacked No | 59c | 69$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.71 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked Yes | 50c | 67$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked No | 57c | 66.26$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.77 | 72 | 59.7%43 W · 29 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Yes | 40c | 54$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 171 | 38.6%66 W · 105 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 61c | 52.34$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.11 | 419 | 56.3%236 W · 183 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 29c | 52.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 515 | 16.1%83 W · 432 L | -49.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 50c | 51.9$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.95 | 732 | 58.5%428 W · 304 L | +46.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f2…2512backed Yes | 50c | 51.9$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.95 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa20…e7e3backed No | 59c | 50.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Yes | 41c | 49.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.96 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d51…7317backed Yes | 41c | 48.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.49 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 39c | 48$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.52 | 364 | 62.9%229 W · 135 L | +32.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe324…9189backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x863f…7b79backed No | 64c | 45.15$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 66c | 44.74$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.21 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd5…11bbbacked No | 59c | 42.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…dddfbacked Yes | 42c | 42.44$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.69 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 40c | 40.66$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 594 | 45.5%270 W · 324 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Yes | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Yes | 34c | 38.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.53 | 135 | 42.2%57 W · 78 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 60c | 38.35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.14 | 365 | 54.5%199 W · 166 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 54c | 36.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba2b…0c59backed Yes | 42c | 35.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.62 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77a5…f731backed No | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 161 | 50.9%82 W · 79 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked Yes | 41c | 27.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Yes | 40c | 27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3af5…caebbacked Yes | 41c | 26.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6073…d82fbacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf05f…91d5backed No | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90b5…4e3dbacked Yes | 70c | 24.21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…2240backed No | 64c | 20.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 250 | 52%130 W · 120 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed No | 62c | 18.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Millwall FC win on 2026-03-07?this page
- Will Hull City AFC vs. Millwall FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-03-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.