CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Game Hunters - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3cb351675aa4303638fa4843a7d7a46cf7f51d64e8478afd6ea98b3a9fb74030
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- RED Canidsof RED Canids, Game Hunters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,157
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,157 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Game Hunters | 2c | 1,050$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked RED Canids | 75c | 603.32$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.27 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee1…f616backed Game Hunters | 25c | 397.72$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.91 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9a01backed Game Hunters | 25c | 391.92$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.98 | 439 | 33.7%148 W · 291 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed RED Canids | 74c | 300.84$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.14 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Game Hunters | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Game Hunters | 23c | 260.61$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.94 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed RED Canids | 78c | 223.48$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.75 | 259 | 34%88 W · 171 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked RED Canids | 79c | 216.07$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.35 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed RED Canids | 75c | 193.19$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.4 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked RED Canids | 75c | 74.33$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.58 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Game Hunters | 22c | 52.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 339 | 49%166 W · 173 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4913…d01bbacked RED Canids | 73c | 48.05$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.97 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Game Hunters | 28c | 47.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 229 | 31.4%72 W · 157 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77a5…f731backed Game Hunters | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bbb…2948backed RED Canids | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 170 | 70%119 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed RED Canids | 65c | 15.97$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.59 | 432 | 39.1%169 W · 263 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4400…8ae6backed RED Canids | 77c | 13.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.16 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Game Hunters - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Game Hunters (BO3) - Circuit X Pantanal Cuiabá Group DRED Canids won
- Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Game Hunters - Map 1 WinnerRED Canids won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.