Bundesliga · resolved market
Eintracht Braunschweig vs. Hertha BSC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5bb55f1dc43d5de5bd5141743519192613276e8b921d0544e62052a7b671858f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,361
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,832
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,361 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 42c | 11,910$5,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,002.2 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 57c | 11,904$6,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,069.32 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9749backed Over | 59c | 2,826$1,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,657.82 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 44c | 1,439$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.35 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 42c | 1,315$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.97 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 77c | 1,268$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.5 | 189 | 58.2%110 W · 79 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 40c | 1,033$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.25 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 50c | 823$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.5 | 187 | 59.4%111 W · 76 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4d…4829backed Under | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 38c | 483.32$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.99 | 172 | 47.1%81 W · 91 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 38c | 323.48$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.85 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 41c | 249.94$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.47 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +7.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +31%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 33c | 206.86$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe461…2a69backed Over | 25c | 191.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.75 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e95…f5bfbacked Over | 50c | 176.95$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.81 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 51c | 172.3$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.75 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 58c | 160.86$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.94 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Under | 45c | 140.22$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.12 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 41c | 119.68$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.61 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc02a…b43fbacked Over | 45c | 110$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 34c | 105.82$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.88 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 57c | 97.26$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.24 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 39c | 95.28$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.16 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Over | 59c | 88.84$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.42 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…e90dbacked Under | 57c | 84.76$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.44 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 346 | 55.5%192 W · 154 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb844…8cf6backed Over | 43c | 69.05$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5f…8eadbacked Over | 33c | 58.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked Over | 57c | 49.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.49 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 40c | 48.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 271 | 42.8%116 W · 155 L | +18.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43c7…d727backed Over | 61c | 47.66$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.31 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Over | 43c | 44.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 205 | 40%82 W · 123 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc18…9b6ebacked Over | 58c | 44.74$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.95 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…dfe8backed Over | 51c | 44.25$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76de…85ccbacked Over | 34c | 42.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 58c | 42.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 120 | 69.2%83 W · 37 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa0…441abacked Over | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 59c | 33.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde28…8d20backed Over | 59c | 33.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Over | 43c | 29.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 63c | 29.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Over | 63c | 27.93$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd945…fbd1backed Under | 64c | 27.52$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6d…bfc5backed Over | 60c | 25.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Under | 42c | 25.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f47…742ebacked Over | 56c | 25.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -33%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Over | 54c | 25.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 58c | 25.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 73c | 24.2$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Under | 43c | 24.13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.69 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8858…ed3ebacked Under | 44c | 23.33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.08 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 77c | 17.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.97 | 435 | 32.2%140 W · 295 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 72c | 14.36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.02 | 531 | 40.7%216 W · 315 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs. Hertha BSC: O/U 2.5this page
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs. Hertha BSC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs. Hertha BSC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs. Hertha BSC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs. Hertha BSC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Hertha BSC (-2.5)Eintracht Braunschweig won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.