Bundesliga · resolved market
Eintracht Braunschweig vs. Hertha BSC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f814520fd22f7b93d69f525f896ddb2ffd3599d8bde39830e832cc1aade43c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,111
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,617
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,111 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 45c | 3,364$1,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,524.17 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 56c | 2,954$1,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,298.45 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Under | 52c | 1,360$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.65 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 58c | 1,241$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.74 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 42c | 757.77$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.27 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 37c | 740.89$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.26 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 11c | 388.25$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 531 | 40.7%216 W · 315 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 41c | 217.03$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.29 | 172 | 47.1%81 W · 91 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Over | 16c | 170.18$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…b10fbacked Under | 76c | 162.65$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 24c | 155.23$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.26 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Under | 49c | 130.96$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.06 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 44c | 121.88$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.79 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…20bfbacked Under | 50c | 116.4$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.2 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d39…a4fbbacked Under | 48c | 100.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.48 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +5.1wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed Over | 44c | 68.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +8.5wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 64c | 67.06$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.14 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 39c | 62.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 116 | 35.3%41 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 61c | 48.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed Under | 65c | 47.51$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.63 | 73 | 78.1%57 W · 16 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 32c | 45.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 271 | 42.8%116 W · 155 L | +18.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 31c | 41.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 435 | 32.2%140 W · 295 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 41c | 35.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 51c | 33.97$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 66c | 33.48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc18…9b6ebacked Over | 46c | 25.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 66c | 21.68$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.37 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs. Hertha BSC: O/U 3.5this page
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs. Hertha BSC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs. Hertha BSC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs. Hertha BSC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs. Hertha BSC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Hertha BSC (-2.5)Eintracht Braunschweig won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.