Movies · resolved market
Will "The Housemaid" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 20m?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ccbef8fb1f625798fc7f29e00d60ea831b814b8aa4dbb2f2ee96638d9a33589
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,293
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,038
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,293 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x74e0…fabdbacked Yes | 31c | 1,860$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275.54 | 285 | 24.2%69 W · 216 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed Yes | 45c | 1,400$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.81 | 260 | 41.2%107 W · 153 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…93eebacked Yes | 66c | 901.03$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.55 | 296 | 42.6%126 W · 170 L | +22.9wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33f8…c5e4backed Yes | 48c | 896.08$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.76 | 294 | 23.5%69 W · 225 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -43%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 41c | 887.5$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.69 | 473 | 28.3%134 W · 339 L | -32.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 3c | 806.35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb028…8686backed Yes | 53c | 654.9$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.5 | 236 | 39.8%94 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked No | 3c | 600.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 55 | 18.2%10 W · 45 L | -7.5wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a0…5cc4backed No | 41c | 449.77$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.83 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb68f…6fd2backed No | 69c | 300$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.8 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed No | 52c | 177.78$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.45 | 285 | 28.8%82 W · 203 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa565…c4a1backed Yes | 7c | 161.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,415.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74a6…5f51backed No | 18c | 156.6$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b49…c6debacked Yes | 14c | 151.76$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.87 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 29c | 140.77$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.74 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…4ef2backed Yes | 40c | 90.77$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.3 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb40…3612backed Yes | 17c | 90.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.52 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 32c | 66.27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.07 | 1,218 | 17.8%217 W · 1,001 L | -124.0wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x45c9…3fecbacked Yes | 37c | 58.77$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.76 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1cf…9656backed Yes | 21c | 55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc877…05b4backed Yes | 24c | 45.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.49 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ec…2ec6backed Yes | 52c | 38.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf70…7350backed Yes | 63c | 37.81$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.82 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed No | 63c | 36.15$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.87 | 206 | 68.9%142 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 58c | 35.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x464b…2c0ebacked Yes | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe52…32c5backed Yes | 44c | 22.62$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.61 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "The Housemaid" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 20m?this page
- Will "The Housemaid" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 23m?No won
- Will "The Housemaid" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 23m and 26m?No won
- Will "The Housemaid" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 26m?No won
- Will "The Housemaid" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 17m?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.