Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Bublik (-1.5) vs Acosta (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7cdc528ab5e885c3dc644af092c67ae969debfa85e5a8a8fd8ec98477eda8f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bublikof Bublik, Acosta
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,588
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,358
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,588 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3a1…bf4bbacked Bublik | 56c | 5,530$3,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,445.49 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Acosta | 43c | 2,422$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041.52 | 359 | 55.7%200 W · 159 L | +20.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Acosta | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed Acosta | 43c | 627.91$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 579 | 50.9%295 W · 284 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Acosta | 55c | 477.54$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.65 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Acosta | 61c | 435.19$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.92 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2422…d02cbacked Bublik | 45c | 373.58$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.49 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Bublik | 40c | 333.33$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 582 | 32%186 W · 396 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Acosta | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 632 | 52.8%334 W · 298 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca70…3bafbacked Bublik | 38c | 280.03$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.88 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Acosta | 43c | 265.12$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…c736backed Bublik | 38c | 264.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.24 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Acosta | 35c | 257.57$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.01 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…2f1bbacked Acosta | 43c | 227.91$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 291 | 48.5%141 W · 150 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb010…3c99backed Bublik | 64c | 203.36$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.21 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Acosta | 34c | 200$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.02 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1861…408dbacked Acosta | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78fe…df2fbacked Acosta | 60c | 157.28$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.37 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Acosta | 43c | 153.49$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…f218backed Bublik | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 357 | 53.8%192 W · 165 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Acosta | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Acosta | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Acosta | 60c | 97$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.66 | 603 | 41.1%248 W · 355 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…2cbfbacked Acosta | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…3354backed Acosta | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a80…f623backed Bublik | 59c | 81.42$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Acosta | 63c | 79.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.39 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Acosta | 43c | 76.74$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Acosta | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Acosta | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 394 | 51.8%204 W · 190 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Acosta | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 490 | 56.9%279 W · 211 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Bublik | 40c | 66$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f9…58e9backed Acosta | 60c | 66$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17f5…f087backed Bublik | 45c | 46.51$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.67 | 177 | 57.6%102 W · 75 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…50edbacked Acosta | 43c | 38.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3fe…e3aabacked Bublik | 54c | 36.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab42…fd88backed Bublik | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Acosta | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 814 | 57%464 W · 350 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a2…a9bfbacked Bublik | 45c | 28.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Acosta | 60c | 27.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 190 | 64.7%123 W · 67 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…355abacked Bublik | 44c | 26.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Bublik (-1.5) vs Acosta (+1.5)this page
- Alexander Bublik vs. Facundo Acosta: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Bublik vs. Acosta: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Bublik vs. Acosta: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Generali Open: Alexander Bublik vs Facundo AcostaAlexander Bublik won
- Set 1 Winner: Bublik vs AcostaBublik won
- Set 2 Winner: Bublik vs AcostaBublik won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.