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Champions League · resolved market

Will LASK Linz win on 2026-08-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$661,177
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$651,661

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $661,177 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 302 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x34dd…fd83backed Yes51c179,142$92,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87,046.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+94.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c40…80dfbacked No49c65,400$32,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,046.16250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes51c48,536$24,634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,901.5642850.2%215 W · 213 L+25.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3eb0…6a68backed Yes50c35,442$17,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,867.133100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+103.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked No49c33,031$16,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,027.233528.6%10 W · 25 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-20.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Yes32c27,102$8,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,476.717133.8%24 W · 47 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd471…edf8backed No48c25,250$12,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,162.08616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick43cpaid-42.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed No49c22,946$11,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,185.732944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x087d…b872backed No49c20,000$9,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,80010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No67c19,142$12,889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,889.4263137.7%238 W · 393 L-27.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Yes33c15,767$5,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,625.243148.4%15 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No38c14,824$5,648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,648.432,10143.6%917 W · 1,184 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed Yes39c14,711$5,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,013.115545.5%25 W · 30 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27a0…b6cbbacked No1c12,120$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.4410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e4e…1dfcbacked No50c11,603$5,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,801.29728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-41.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes45c11,034$4,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,064.051,59639.8%636 W · 960 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-16.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x162c…6c47backed No48c10,999$5,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,279.694562.2%28 W · 17 L+4.9wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked No66c10,752$7,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,104.695545.5%25 W · 30 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No5c10,350$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52846533.8%157 W · 308 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-38.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d5d…191dbacked No48c10,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,800250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No48c8,333$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,999.8428747.4%136 W · 151 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Yes52c8,000$4,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,8402860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+29.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No50c6,779$3,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,384.5911659.5%69 W · 47 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes51c6,000$3,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,94011345.1%51 W · 62 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes48c5,729$2,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,984.0679935.3%282 W · 517 L-36.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-31.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No49c5,500$2,702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,702.3257347.6%273 W · 300 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No50c5,175$2,567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,566.749751.9%258 W · 239 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f8a…01cdbacked Yes34c5,108$1,756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,352.063040%12 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc638…43b4backed Yes50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,500580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+58.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4e…e5b7backed No50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5001118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.25per pick43cpaid-59.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No48c4,990$2,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,416.7661741.5%256 W · 361 L-21.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9212…4040backed Yes42c4,990$2,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,914.112552%13 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd721…a97bbacked No48c4,684$2,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,256.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ba2…1650backed Yes47c4,466$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,366.21533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-29.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x712e…0485backed No50c4,328$2,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,147.77650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked No48c4,262$2,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,058.2511346%52 W · 61 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No49c4,236$2,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,075.4970446.3%326 W · 378 L-21.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4c9…617dbacked No48c4,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,920933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-36.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa7dc…21b9backed No51c4,000$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,040520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-59.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes32c3,782$1,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,572.969571.6%68 W · 27 L+14.0wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+30.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x46ca…ac4cbacked No60c3,687$2,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,223.531369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9fe…ec7dbacked Yes62c3,654$2,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,374.063100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+154.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes36c3,592$1,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,295.863271.9%23 W · 9 L+6.7wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+57.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No48c3,589$1,735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,734.5632931.9%105 W · 224 L-26.8wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-44.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked No50c3,558$1,779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,778.875450%27 W · 27 L+7.7wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+36.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed Yes51c3,375$1,707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,668.59349.5%46 W · 47 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No63c3,308$2,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,077.2441743.4%181 W · 236 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x689f…259cbacked Yes47c3,083$1,439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,643.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+114.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x583e…a2a6backed No49c3,000$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,470475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+54.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No50c2,970$1,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4854351.2%22 W · 21 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaaca…f5d5backed No49c2,822$1,373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,373.172236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-47%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No50c2,601$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,300.4751746.2%239 W · 278 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No49c2,443$1,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,196.9336744.4%163 W · 204 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No49c2,369$1,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,160.6435746.8%167 W · 190 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No49c2,292$1,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,122.9354239.5%214 W · 328 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No49c2,229$1,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,102.0539042.3%165 W · 225 L-14.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb399…9435backed Yes48c2,096$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,095.744247.6%20 W · 22 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+24.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No48c1,984$961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.9516546.1%76 W · 89 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes50c1,852$926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925.949945.5%45 W · 54 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Yes51c1,823$937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.298460.7%51 W · 33 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes52c1,514$785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.235832.7%117 W · 241 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Yes50c1,500$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7502450%12 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ad1…b4c5backed No50c1,500$753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752.6950%0 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked No52c1,494$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$770.1910546.7%49 W · 56 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-23.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed No50c1,487$743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743.2119447.9%93 W · 101 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb5a…8445backed Yes41c1,395$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$823.244037.5%15 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+46.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe75…5af2backed Yes47c1,377$647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.81250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick32cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xad31…c93abacked Yes37c1,363$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$858.742560%15 W · 10 L+4.0wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+104.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3b5a…87efbacked No50c1,329$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664.544839.6%19 W · 29 L+4.6wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+91.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked Yes78c1,282$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.051338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+75.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes37c1,281$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$806.749442.6%40 W · 54 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42ef…1576backed No50c1,258$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6293145.2%14 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed No51c1,221$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.1597332.2%313 W · 660 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Yes26c1,144$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$844.327070%49 W · 21 L+10.2wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+31.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x208c…6b98backed Yes52c1,142$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.14966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+17.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Yes26c1,139$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.527866.7%52 W · 26 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes26c1,139$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.437265.3%47 W · 25 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+25%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed No48c1,131$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5431266.7%8 W · 4 L+3.2wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+61.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes42c1,099$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.2620936.8%77 W · 132 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x652b…e9c9backed Yes32c1,094$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743.75366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+54.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Yes50c1,060$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5305667.9%38 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No49c1,058$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.2639043.6%170 W · 220 L-11.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.818434.8%64 W · 120 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+34.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4d5…5696backed Yes51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4901100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb437…cfb3backed No52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5208927%24 W · 65 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-33.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed No59c984$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.387737.7%29 W · 48 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x53a9…dfd3backed Yes46c969.05$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.05333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90b4…470dbacked Yes32c964.81$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.27250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+55.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked No51c951$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.0118141.4%75 W · 106 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbcba…c950backed No6c885.47$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.132045%9 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc1d…faffbacked No50c866$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea53…e1ebbacked Yes51c839.22$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.22250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Yes49c799.99$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.992564%16 W · 9 L+3.6wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+27.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe1b9…c40bbacked No51c784.2$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.94520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-48.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x240a…814cbacked No51c768.83$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.11050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf374…0178backed No59c685.38$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.33250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+40.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7349…cc3abacked Yes76c654.91$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.731040%4 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-30%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed No60c651.03$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.718648.9%91 W · 95 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55b9…a814backed No65c637.71$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.581450%7 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked No61c619.53$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.2113041.5%54 W · 76 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.