Champions League · resolved market
Will LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc47fb86cb32f10d2affb6136c7c9ee1028204734888af27492a3bd8715f391f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,126
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,807
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,126 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcb98…b473backed Yes | 2c | 7,000$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 1c | 3,075$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.11 | 465 | 33.8%157 W · 308 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa8…4de1backed Yes | 5c | 2,200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2398…8894backed Yes | 32c | 2,188$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 77c | 1,483$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.09 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed No | 76c | 1,124$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.76 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Yes | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 140 | 20.7%29 W · 111 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91e6…2db1backed Yes | 24c | 968.07$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.68 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 76c | 709.7$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.46 | 329 | 31.9%105 W · 224 L | -26.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 76c | 380.12$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.23 | 497 | 51.9%258 W · 239 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2afc…317abacked Yes | 25c | 320$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd0…b719backed Yes | 23c | 263.39$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.58 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x140e…cf85backed Yes | 24c | 241.67$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6daa…954abacked Yes | 24c | 238.04$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.13 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 29c | 213.75$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.99 | 799 | 35.3%282 W · 517 L | -36.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 24c | 166.25$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 358 | 32.7%117 W · 241 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 68c | 159.4$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.01 | 116 | 59.5%69 W · 47 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5da…625abacked Yes | 24c | 150$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x816a…5bebbacked No | 69c | 144.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Yes | 26c | 139.66$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.31 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53c8…7f69backed Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5577…53d2backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +113.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26ad…8c4ebacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Yes | 23c | 99.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 704 | 46.3%326 W · 378 L | -21.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0817…29f2backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 68c | 68.5$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.92 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6204…50a2backed Yes | 23c | 66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +49%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 71c | 63.23$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 24c | 55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 1,062 | 36.3%386 W · 676 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked Yes | 26c | 54.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fc…e039backed Yes | 23c | 49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 76c | 43$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 631 | 37.7%238 W · 393 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e97…09cebacked No | 77c | 23.36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7523…68a0backed No | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…1f24backed No | 77c | 14.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 76c | 14.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 194 | 47.9%93 W · 101 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Celtic FC win on 2026-08-25?No won
- Will LASK Linz win on 2026-08-25?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.