TailMyPicks
Menu
Market

Champions League · resolved market

Will Celtic FC win on 2026-08-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$189,698
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$204,964

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $189,698 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 188 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3ea2…e8e5backed No74c27,614$20,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,079.883100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+52.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No70c14,336$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,336.3611659.5%69 W · 47 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes27c10,082$2,716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,715.5318141.4%75 W · 106 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7349…cc3abacked No61c7,685$4,689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,996.621040%4 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-30%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80cf…30aabacked No57c7,432$4,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,194.641181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.26per pick56cpaid+55.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes41c7,042$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,899.515545.5%25 W · 30 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked No58c6,094$3,506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,587.889571.6%68 W · 27 L+14.0wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+30.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes41c6,000$2,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,486.689442.6%40 W · 54 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed No55c5,961$3,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,709.372941.4%12 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick32cpaid-14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Yes26c5,552$1,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,443.527445.9%34 W · 40 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes25c4,981$1,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,235.032,10143.6%917 W · 1,184 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes34c4,804$1,631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,631.1563137.7%238 W · 393 L-27.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes36c3,388$1,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,215.0732931.9%105 W · 224 L-26.8wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-44.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes27c3,128$858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$858.0735832.7%117 W · 241 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No73c3,029$2,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825.1279935.3%282 W · 517 L-36.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-31.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No73c2,923$2,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$792.1649751.9%258 W · 239 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2398…8894backed Yes24c2,900$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-34.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No72c2,620$1,886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.2870446.3%326 W · 378 L-21.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed No73c2,395$1,751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.3419447.9%93 W · 101 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x382f…c116backed Yes26c2,308$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed No74c2,087$1,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.559349.5%46 W · 47 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed No62c2,023$1,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$774.672835.7%10 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.13per pick23cpaid+107.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb34c…449cbacked Yes2c1,819$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5a…87efbacked Yes28c1,805$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.334839.6%19 W · 29 L+4.6wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+91.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked No50c1,754$885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$869.223271.9%23 W · 9 L+6.7wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+57.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Yes38c1,679$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.610546.7%49 W · 56 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-23.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xffb3…081ebacked No73c1,474$1,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb306…2086backed No73c1,400$1,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3781100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Yes26c1,154$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001414.3%2 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.23per pick37cpaid-74%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1aa8…4de1backed Yes27c1,120$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.460%0 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb399…9435backed No64c1,095$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.14247.6%20 W · 22 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+24.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed Yes2c1,087$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.742544%11 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbcba…c950backed Yes40c1,084$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.962045%9 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c5…7205backed No73c1,080$788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No72c1,076$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.3339042.3%165 W · 225 L-14.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb97…a730backed Yes28c1,036$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-38.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0178…3f7abacked No61c1,030$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.412763%17 W · 10 L+4.3wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+62.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No72c1,025$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.7835746.8%167 W · 190 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55b9…a814backed No75c1,003$747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.361450%7 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No73c1,000$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27057347.6%273 W · 300 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No74c966.68$715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.641,59639.8%636 W · 960 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-16.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No72c966.21$696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.2536744.4%163 W · 204 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Yes37c918.67$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.474254.8%23 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked No71c903$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.764100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+122.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa991…0935backed Yes30c839.68$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.842272.7%16 W · 6 L+4.9wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+41.3%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed No51c823.12$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.1218648.9%91 W · 95 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed No55c810.42$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.423050%15 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes27c809.78$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.516137.9%61 W · 100 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Yes37c780$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.79848%47 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd786…59b8backed Yes8c770.22$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.291926.3%5 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick40cpaid+3.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked No72c750$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21011346%52 W · 61 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1985…51abbacked No50c715$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.51872.2%13 W · 5 L+5.2wins+0.29per pick43cpaid+51.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x09b0…a3b6backed No50c715$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.52050%10 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa31f…2739backed Yes26c700.69$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No78c697.89$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.2941743.4%181 W · 236 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca10backed Yes23c687.54$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.333458.8%20 W · 14 L+8.1wins+0.24per pick35cpaid+93.4%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x7418…251fbacked No75c664.42$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.421764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick58cpaid-3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x91e6…2db1backed Yes26c663.82$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175825%2 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76bc…fccabacked No64c661.99$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.878041.3%33 W · 47 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked No64c593.95$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.941070%7 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+33%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked No51c589.84$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.027866.7%52 W · 26 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed No51c588.78$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.497070%49 W · 21 L+10.2wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+31.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No74c585.5$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.921,06236.3%386 W · 676 L+24.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No51c585.27$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.987265.3%47 W · 25 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+25%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes27c583.11$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.1828636.4%104 W · 182 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-22.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed Yes42c567$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.597345.2%33 W · 40 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes25c560.63$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.1626653.8%143 W · 123 L+0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7409…65a6backed No79c487.29$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.332673.1%19 W · 7 L+4.3wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+33.1%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x89d2…252abacked Yes52c480.77$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x240a…814cbacked Yes28c466.8$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.71050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbedb…6bc3backed Yes28c466.79$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.7560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+24.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Yes30c455.62$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.427737.7%29 W · 48 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ce9…0cf5backed No73c429.99$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.9250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-31.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2cb…ad46backed Yes27c416.11$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.35425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-43.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No51c410$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.99160.4%55 W · 36 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+24%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes35c390.52$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.7413041.5%54 W · 76 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb66e…47c5backed No61c388.91$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.69683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick50cpaid+58.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x018e…5c3dbacked Yes26c384.61$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+76.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf8e4…3b32backed No72c347$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.462263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+37.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2614…4442backed Yes23c335.99$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.281442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+43.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes42c325$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.4213349.6%66 W · 67 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1747…4afcbacked No64c311.96$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.96425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-61%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d93…fdefbacked Yes39c300$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1163831.6%12 W · 26 L-8.4wins-0.22per pick54cpaid-37%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes26c274$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.4324940.6%101 W · 148 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Yes47c270$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.552070%14 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4bb5…1d5bbacked No75c266.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.671172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+50.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc708…a968backed No50c265.48$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes28c260.11$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.8397332.2%313 W · 660 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No72c251.23$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.3561741.5%256 W · 361 L-21.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a92…6b00backed Yes35c237.6$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.16475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick41cpaid+80.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd928…705fbacked Yes35c232.57$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+39.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Yes25c231.6$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.668470.2%59 W · 25 L+11.6wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+22.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x69c0…30f9backed Yes26c230.77$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick33cpaid+73.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a3e…cd83backed Yes35c226.29$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+41.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2851…d63cbacked Yes50c206.36$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.06540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0ec…a9c4backed No50c203.36$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.68475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+62.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Yes34c203.23$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.0312345.5%56 W · 67 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Yes24c201.2$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.796157.4%35 W · 26 L+6.5wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+43.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2a7e…9dc6backed Yes26c200$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529339.8%37 W · 56 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-0.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked Yes6c200$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126933.3%23 W · 46 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.