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Europa Conference League · resolved market

FK Kauno Žalgiris vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$18,527
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$18,482

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,527 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Over47c3,928$1,833 inLost-$1,833.482,79534.8%973 W · 1,822 L-86.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over48c3,397$1,617 inLost-$1,617.121,89538.7%734 W · 1,161 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x162c…6c47backed Under56c1,979$1,108 inWon+$870.8311457%65 W · 49 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+19.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over19c1,700$327 inLost-$327.483,24742.2%1,370 W · 1,877 L+4.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under47c1,243$580 inWon+$663.622,73840.2%1,100 W · 1,638 L-1.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under21c750$158 inWon+$592.51,29049.1%633 W · 657 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa71d…9854backed Under58c513.55$298 inWon+$215.691464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+13.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under21c512$108 inWon+$404.4832547.7%155 W · 170 L+12.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+24%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x24ae…d35bbacked Over33c500$165 inLost-$1654037.5%15 W · 25 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over12c418.57$52 inLost-$51.761,22245.3%553 W · 669 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under21c400$84 inWon+$3161,20047.4%569 W · 631 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x821d…cf16backed Over40c299$119 inLost-$118.7633442.5%142 W · 192 L-13.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x22fe…92c1backed Over17c240.95$41 inLost-$40.96650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-31.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x240a…814cbacked Over79c202.12$160 inLost-$159.671855.6%10 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under33c188.22$63 inWon+$125.192,43437.3%909 W · 1,525 L-9.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under22c147.14$32 inWon+$114.7715558.1%90 W · 65 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x536e…4fd5backed Under58c129.19$75 inWon+$54.261353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbedb…6bc3backed Over79c126.58$100 inLost-$100944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f0f…1366backed Over40c125$50 inLost-$502751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6844…7633backed Over41c120.15$49 inLost-$49.261973.7%14 W · 5 L+5.5wins+0.29per pick45cpaid+72.4%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x2d8a…24c2backed Under57c104$59 inWon+$44.723132.3%10 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd577…c012backed Under58c101.69$59 inWon+$42.711968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+24%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf28e…0bb1backed Over23c100$23 inLost-$236936.2%25 W · 44 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under79c97.47$77 inWon+$20.4744251.6%228 W · 214 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under21c90.3$19 inWon+$71.311,79354.8%983 W · 810 L+11.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65ee…3240backed Over44c68.18$30 inLost-$301822.2%4 W · 14 L-5.0wins-0.28per pick50cpaid-56.1%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xcc8e…944ebacked Over78c64.1$50 inLost-$5010766.4%71 W · 36 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick72cpaid-9.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over78c61.04$48 inLost-$47.611,21936.3%442 W · 777 L-18.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39f9…fcc3backed Over33c50.36$16 inLost-$16.43850%19 W · 19 L-4.0wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over35c44.64$16 inLost-$15.7374939.4%295 W · 454 L-23.3wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13a0…e8b9backed Under61c44.51$27 inWon+$17.23560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over78c42$33 inLost-$32.7641442.3%175 W · 239 L-1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Over45c41.6$19 inLost-$18.7754353.8%292 W · 251 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7403…b24abacked Under53c40.39$21 inWon+$18.986251.6%32 W · 30 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over52c36.29$19 inLost-$18.8838151.2%195 W · 186 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10af…2d06backed Under58c33.89$20 inWon+$14.231361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x947d…dff0backed Under58c25.42$15 inWon+$10.681656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Over76c21.58$16 inLost-$16.414561.4%89 W · 56 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf27…f35fbacked Under57c21.05$12 inWon+$9.055964.4%38 W · 21 L+8.1wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+30.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x282b…cc76backed Under58c20$12 inWon+$8.41662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0e3…b200backed Over68c20$14 inLost-$13.6250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.