Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: Beşiktaş JK (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfae60063a6d3aad755942d93c7931d3d3f95ed4593727646574b0b355006575c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FK Kauno Žalgirisof Beşiktaş JK, FK Kauno Žalgiris
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,144
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,150
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,144 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 9 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3705…9677backed Beşiktaş JK | 26c | 3,815$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.79 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -66%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed FK Kauno Žalgiris | 74c | 1,722$1,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.66 | 334 | 42.5%142 W · 192 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Beşiktaş JK | 15c | 1,607$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.44 | 1,895 | 38.7%734 W · 1,161 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed FK Kauno Žalgiris | 74c | 1,196$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.86 | 2,795 | 34.8%973 W · 1,822 L | -86.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked FK Kauno Žalgiris | 74c | 921.05$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.35 | 1,222 | 45.3%553 W · 669 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Beşiktaş JK | 24c | 263$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.12 | 414 | 42.3%175 W · 239 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…399abacked Beşiktaş JK | 12c | 115.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 54 | 22.2%12 W · 42 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked FK Kauno Žalgiris | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 636 | 49.5%315 W · 321 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed FK Kauno Žalgiris | 76c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 1,793 | 54.8%983 W · 810 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Beşiktaş JK (-2.5)this page
- FK Kauno Žalgiris vs. Beşiktaş JK: Beşiktaş JK O/U 2.5Under won
- FK Kauno Žalgiris vs. Beşiktaş JK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FK Kauno Žalgiris vs. Beşiktaş JK: FK Kauno Žalgiris O/U 1.5Under won
- FK Kauno Žalgiris vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 0.5Over won
- FK Kauno Žalgiris vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 1.5Under won
- FK Kauno Žalgiris vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 2.5Under won
- FK Kauno Žalgiris vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 3.5Under won
- FK Kauno Žalgiris vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 4.5Under won
- FK Kauno Žalgiris vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 5.5Under won
- FK Kauno Žalgiris vs. Beşiktaş JK: Team to AdvanceBeşiktaş JK won
- Spread: Beşiktaş JK (-1.5)FK Kauno Žalgiris won
- Spread: FK Kauno Žalgiris (-1.5)Beşiktaş JK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.