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Europa Conference League · resolved market

FK Kauno Žalgiris vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$18,234
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$17,612

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,234 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Under68c4,963$3,357 inWon+$1,605.353,24742.2%1,370 W · 1,877 L+4.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over53c4,207$2,236 inLost-$2,235.851,10445.4%501 W · 603 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x821d…cf16backed Over20c2,803$564 inLost-$563.5933442.5%142 W · 192 L-13.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over33c1,226$402 inLost-$402.392,79534.8%973 W · 1,822 L-86.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over55c1,181$650 inLost-$650.541442.3%175 W · 239 L-1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over57c1,061$604 inLost-$603.81,21936.3%442 W · 777 L-18.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over31c1,053$326 inLost-$326.241,89538.7%734 W · 1,161 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb437…cfb3backed Under47c999.99$470 inWon+$529.998834.1%30 W · 58 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under73c877.68$644 inWon+$233.931,22245.3%553 W · 669 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under43c731.79$315 inWon+$417.1277248.8%377 W · 395 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under44c500.89$218 inWon+$282.51,20047.4%569 W · 631 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under56c480.74$271 inWon+$209.9485142%357 W · 494 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under48c416.37$200 inWon+$216.5113057.7%75 W · 55 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under44c416.36$183 inWon+$233.166254.8%34 W · 28 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+20.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under46c400$184 inWon+$2169358.1%54 W · 39 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under46c399.98$186 inWon+$213.9915558.1%90 W · 65 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x76bc…fccabacked Over26c384.61$100 inLost-$1007932.9%26 W · 53 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-34.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over53c377.2$200 inLost-$199.922,73840.2%1,100 W · 1,638 L-1.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0145…35d0backed Over54c370.37$200 inLost-$2003161.3%19 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under48c315.28$151 inWon+$164.11,29049.1%633 W · 657 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Under80c314$251 inWon+$62.822237.8%84 W · 138 L-14.1wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-25.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x240a…814cbacked Over56c306.74$172 inLost-$171.631855.6%10 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Under47c200$94 inWon+$1068955.1%49 W · 40 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under47c200$94 inWon+$10610956.9%62 W · 47 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under47c200$94 inWon+$1068956.2%50 W · 39 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Under47c200$93 inWon+$1078955.1%49 W · 40 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcb8…067cbacked Under47c200$93 inWon+$1075060%30 W · 20 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+8.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5af3…1534backed Over52c191.85$100 inLost-$1003652.8%19 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f41…260ebacked Under47c169$79 inWon+$89.572850%14 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under44c120$53 inWon+$66.691,79354.8%983 W · 810 L+11.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf28e…0bb1backed Over22c100$22 inLost-$226936.2%25 W · 44 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over56c82$46 inLost-$45.9220948.8%102 W · 107 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under48c80$38 inWon+$41.689153.4%476 W · 415 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Under47c80$37 inWon+$42.810158.4%59 W · 42 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Under48c80$38 inWon+$41.642957.1%245 W · 184 L+16.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over52c71.64$37 inLost-$37.252,43437.3%909 W · 1,525 L-9.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under45c60$27 inWon+$3363649.5%315 W · 321 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under44c45.97$20 inWon+$25.741,04148%500 W · 541 L+18.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under43c45.33$20 inWon+$25.641,03450.8%525 W · 509 L+16.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1af3…fbe3backed Over31c43.6$14 inLost-$13.521428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9eeb…a72cbacked Over53c43.28$23 inLost-$22.946454.7%35 W · 29 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Over54c40.43$22 inLost-$21.8330851%157 W · 151 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under46c40$19 inWon+$21.48154.3%44 W · 37 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Under44c39.32$17 inWon+$22.0227737.9%105 W · 172 L-17.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7b18…dd26backed Under47c31.59$15 inWon+$16.748149.4%40 W · 41 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over53c30.85$16 inLost-$16.476037.4%284 W · 476 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8613…2f76backed Under48c30.61$15 inWon+$15.922157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+18.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a3a…e85dbacked Under48c30.61$15 inWon+$15.922560%15 W · 10 L+3.5wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+28.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3cf2…ac54backed Over53c30$16 inLost-$15.91656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1715…a049backed Under46c28.3$13 inWon+$15.2811056.4%62 W · 48 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under48c22.93$11 inWon+$11.9233142.9%142 W · 189 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under74c16.6$12 inWon+$4.3253747.9%257 W · 280 L-1.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.