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La Liga · resolved market

Real Racing Club vs. Elche CF: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$170,010
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$175,339

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $170,010 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x34a1…7622backed Under38c64,359$24,637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,636.814240.5%17 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x821d…cf16backed Over66c24,838$16,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,537.0311041.8%46 W · 64 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ca7…39dbbacked Under21c10,023$2,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,088.05475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+34.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over57c8,908$5,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,839.463,57142.6%1,522 W · 2,049 L+26.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under50c6,042$3,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,004.2917039.4%67 W · 103 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Under67c4,335$2,904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,904.4514539.3%57 W · 88 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over33c3,888$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,587.981,29351.5%666 W · 627 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over80c3,423$2,722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701.181,64538.6%635 W · 1,010 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5652…00c9backed Over33c3,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,999.993542.9%15 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over36c2,312$834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,478.091,18732.4%385 W · 802 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-24.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over65c2,020$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.751048.6%248 W · 262 L+14.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over34c2,000$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,329.991,10448.5%535 W · 569 L+21.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4d5…5696backed Under56c1,961$1,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,098.16450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e6…4c4ebacked Under1c1,794$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.94520%1 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick3cpaid+622.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over33c1,665$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,120.0320942.6%89 W · 120 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under41c1,499$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.4267839.2%266 W · 412 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under67c1,469$984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984.0713144.3%58 W · 73 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa704…11c1backed Over76c1,324$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.88966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8412…7fc8backed Over34c1,255$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$823.572100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+133.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over79c1,250$988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.564732.3%209 W · 438 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Under67c1,200$804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803.9628447.2%134 W · 150 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under66c1,159$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$770.3124639%96 W · 150 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under67c1,111$743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.7772455.8%404 W · 320 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ee0…d6a6backed Under45c1,000$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.991560%9 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+32.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Under69c1,000$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69010661.3%65 W · 41 L-0.5wins0.00per pick62cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under48c986.14$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.354351.2%22 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over79c961$759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.8122842.5%97 W · 131 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Over33c908.81$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.3622022.3%49 W · 171 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Under65c769.23$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002846.4%13 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over80c760.39$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.738144.9%171 W · 210 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe419…8aedbacked Under50c690.45$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.853432.4%11 W · 23 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under4c623$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9289139.8%355 W · 536 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb98…b473backed Under74c600$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4441060%6 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over35c512$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.814759.2%87 W · 60 L+14.6wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+24.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Under12c508$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.764134.1%14 W · 27 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6570…5d38backed Under10c499.84$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.98333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick13cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Over69c486.01$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.298046.3%37 W · 43 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-25.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6534…7cc7backed Under66c471$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.864129.3%12 W · 29 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-40.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x240a…814cbacked Under67c457.54$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.553557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over79c452.72$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.8974350.2%373 W · 370 L+18.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over66c452.63$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.9948338.3%185 W · 298 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-27.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3824…e756backed Under52c375.96$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.51656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefe4…8f49backed Under69c359.99$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.42268.2%15 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over33c307.79$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.8219847.5%94 W · 104 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ea6…428abacked Under58c306.62$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.841050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed Under65c306.15$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1991546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8152…5b51backed Under36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+16.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83de…89c6backed Under4c275$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-32.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3a…e974backed Over54c273.78$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.9410443.3%45 W · 59 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Under43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023250%116 W · 116 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed Over35c200$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1307650%38 W · 38 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5519…f7e1backed Over56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under65c133.86$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.0113357.9%77 W · 56 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fba…fd69backed Under15c128.31$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.25425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick15cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Over65c127.04$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9711845.8%54 W · 64 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over35c113.3$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.6456538.1%215 W · 350 L+1.5wins0.00per pick38cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over56c100.85$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3712446%57 W · 67 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcb1…7992backed Over60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1eab…6a7dbacked Over72c96.96$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.07475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+61.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x65ee…3240backed Over34c88.24$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.241560%9 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ad6…eab6backed Over67c84.84$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.352157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8210…1942backed Under43c81.4$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3594…6533backed Under43c81.4$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-52.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over49c80$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.843458.5%254 W · 180 L+32.9wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3303…9895backed Under57c70.18$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick62cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d82…244dbacked Under43c70$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-27.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under34c64.29$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8624540%98 W · 147 L-17.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-29%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over65c63.41$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.31,67443.9%735 W · 939 L-21.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc28c…6fb2backed Under36c55.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205244.2%23 W · 29 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over33c51.14$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.411,65851.7%858 W · 800 L-6.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9eeb…a72cbacked Under51c49.81$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.412744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed Over31c49.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.094146.3%19 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13a0…e8b9backed Under41c48.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.991050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x859f…0f26backed Over75c48$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+37%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd4b…d965backed Over31c46$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.742100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.70per pick31cpaid+228%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under37c40$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.81650%8 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-27.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under65c40$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2610652.8%56 W · 50 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Over31c39.6$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.327941.8%33 W · 46 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3968…85b5backed Over52c39.02$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.73944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.16per pick28cpaid+21.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f0c…5292backed Under40c37.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154738.3%18 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over31c35.51$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.512037.5%45 W · 75 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7629…226cbacked Under29c34.55$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.021428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8d9…1059backed Over64c31.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.333447.1%16 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcbb…07d9backed Under67c30.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.279071.1%64 W · 26 L+10.1wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+13%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xab96…8d69backed Under65c25.38$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa806…d49dbacked Under65c25.38$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa404…3ee0backed Over80c23.29$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.66333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-58.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1715…a049backed Under67c22.04$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.714748.9%23 W · 24 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa625…fac6backed Over66c21.43$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.292050%10 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+27.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947740.9%195 W · 282 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x403c…7f06backed Under66c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.29560%57 W · 38 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f03…8a0dbacked Under68c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.61346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick63cpaid-28.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Over64c19.97$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.195238.5%20 W · 32 L-7.6wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-39%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Under66c19.76$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0412846.1%59 W · 69 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.