La Liga · resolved market
Real Racing Club vs. Elche CF: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x101c9f83123ea7e67051e4d81525112e5a9fc6f21d1929a3b86a4dc369c15dc2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,488
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,113
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,488 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e3a…e974backed Under | 75c | 13,788$10,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,513.66 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 40c | 7,279$2,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,911.21 | 170 | 39.4%67 W · 103 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 64c | 6,313$4,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,266.53 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 29c | 5,183$1,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,497.9 | 3,571 | 42.6%1,522 W · 2,049 L | +26.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 3c | 3,786$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.57 | 167 | 32.9%55 W · 112 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Over | 35c | 3,366$1,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,171.74 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 14c | 2,404$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.33 | 647 | 32.3%209 W · 438 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 33c | 2,140$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.2 | 510 | 48.6%248 W · 262 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 15c | 1,620$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.61 | 326 | 35.3%115 W · 211 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked Over | 9c | 1,121$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 15c | 1,105$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.23 | 483 | 38.3%185 W · 298 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Over | 13c | 1,060$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.17 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06a…101dbacked Over | 17c | 1,000$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 80c | 875$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 234 | 53%124 W · 110 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2afc…317abacked Over | 33c | 750$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed Over | 14c | 700.01$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e14…5169backed Under | 72c | 608.49$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.58 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 74cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under | 79c | 542.84$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.54 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Under | 79c | 500$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.51 | 236 | 55.5%131 W · 105 L | +18.1wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 9c | 297.1$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.38 | 124 | 46%57 W · 67 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 28c | 281.28$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.07 | 1,674 | 43.9%735 W · 939 L | -21.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0f…1366backed Over | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Under | 74c | 270.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.37 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x059c…050ebacked Under | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Over | 7c | 247.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked Over | 35c | 225.26$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.84 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf94c…4484backed Under | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.7 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 77c | 194.6$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.53 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 20c | 179.1$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.86 | 118 | 45.8%54 W · 64 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 22c | 170.85$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.28 | 891 | 39.8%355 W · 536 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ea…105dbacked Under | 67c | 150.84$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.93 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f46…7a71backed Under | 79c | 145.77$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.61 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8277…dce0backed Over | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 23cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x406f…327dbacked Over | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e6…5e18backed Under | 70c | 119.17$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 20c | 105.56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.11 | 381 | 44.9%171 W · 210 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Over | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 40c | 94$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 204 | 46.1%94 W · 110 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eab…6a7dbacked Over | 20c | 87.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.41 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ed…a4f5backed Over | 39c | 76.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22fe…92c1backed Over | 16c | 67.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe419…8aedbacked Under | 70c | 63.39$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9eeb…a72cbacked Over | 40c | 61.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…226cbacked Over | 20c | 50.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1195…3763backed Under | 69c | 40.04$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Over | 42c | 25.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Under | 79c | 14.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.98 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Racing Club vs. Elche CF: O/U 5.5this page
- Real Racing Club vs. Elche CF: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Elche CF: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Elche CF: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Elche CF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Real Racing Club vs. Elche CF: Elche CF 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Real Racing Club vs. Elche CF: Elche CF 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Real Racing Club vs. Elche CF: Elche CF O/U 0.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Elche CF: Elche CF O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Elche CF: Elche CF O/U 2.5Under won
- Real Racing Club vs. Elche CF: O/U 0.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Elche CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Elche CF: O/U 3.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Elche CF: O/U 4.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Elche CF: Real Racing Club 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Elche CF: Real Racing Club O/U 0.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Elche CF: Real Racing Club O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: Elche CF (-1.5)Real Racing Club won
- Spread: Elche CF (-2.5)Real Racing Club won
- Spread: Real Racing Club (-1.5)Elche CF won
- Spread: Real Racing Club (-2.5)Elche CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.