La Liga · resolved market
Spread: Real Racing Club (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x338eff3cd778f5e39f372a549b9f7eb07b4b4faf778cdf70a005e86f72c7055e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Elche CFof Real Racing Club, Elche CF
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,190
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,993
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,190 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e16…a795backed Elche CF | 75c | 13,333$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,333.33 | 72 | 16.7%12 W · 60 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Elche CF | 60c | 8,800$5,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,522.45 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Real Racing Club | 30c | 6,829$2,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,058.28 | 678 | 39.2%266 W · 412 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Real Racing Club | 25c | 5,000$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 1,293 | 51.5%666 W · 627 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3a…e974backed Real Racing Club | 22c | 2,436$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.88 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Real Racing Club | 25c | 1,594$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.5 | 724 | 55.8%404 W · 320 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…9971backed Real Racing Club | 25c | 1,402$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.5 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Real Racing Club | 25c | 1,323$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.46 | 1,104 | 48.5%535 W · 569 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Real Racing Club | 25c | 1,007$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.8 | 198 | 47.5%94 W · 104 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Real Racing Club | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 220 | 22.3%49 W · 171 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Real Racing Club | 25c | 660.43$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.11 | 202 | 58.9%119 W · 83 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Elche CF | 75c | 512$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 147 | 59.2%87 W · 60 L | +14.6wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Real Racing Club | 69c | 434.78$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 381 | 44.9%171 W · 210 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddf1…a604backed Real Racing Club | 16c | 427.76$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.82 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Real Racing Club | 25c | 402.53$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.63 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4c…1940backed Elche CF | 75c | 398.99$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.75 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Real Racing Club | 42c | 381.41$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.99 | 326 | 35.3%115 W · 211 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Real Racing Club | 35c | 277.5$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.43 | 1,645 | 38.6%635 W · 1,010 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Elche CF | 75c | 265.33$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.33 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Real Racing Club | 70c | 212$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.4 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbae1…d8abbacked Elche CF | 76c | 197.37$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.37 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Real Racing Club | 76c | 168.79$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.9 | 1,187 | 32.4%385 W · 802 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Elche CF | 45c | 149.78$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.98 | 483 | 38.3%185 W · 298 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked Elche CF | 76c | 132.64$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.83 | 47 | 80.9%38 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 76cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Elche CF | 75c | 126$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.09 | 1,674 | 43.9%735 W · 939 L | -21.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Real Racing Club | 20c | 124.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 66 | 25.8%17 W · 49 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Elche CF | 75c | 112.1$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.02 | 2,394 | 48.4%1,159 W · 1,235 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe419…8aedbacked Elche CF | 52c | 102.37$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.68 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Elche CF | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Real Racing Club | 25c | 92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 209 | 42.6%89 W · 120 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdba4…1528backed Real Racing Club | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Real Racing Club | 24c | 70$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b89…9f72backed Elche CF | 76c | 65$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Real Racing Club | 25c | 53.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 246 | 39%96 W · 150 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Real Racing Club | 23c | 48.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 118 | 45.8%54 W · 64 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Elche CF | 75c | 47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 1,658 | 51.7%858 W · 800 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Elche CF | 80c | 46.01$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9da…3ef5backed Real Racing Club | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Real Racing Club | 49c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 178 | 41.6%74 W · 104 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Elche CF | 75c | 34.52$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.48 | 743 | 50.2%373 W · 370 L | +18.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad6…eab6backed Elche CF | 73c | 29.63$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Elche CF | 76c | 26.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.41 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd18a…3ae9backed Elche CF | 76c | 24.7$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93ff…4e38backed Elche CF | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 73cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Elche CF | 76c | 15.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.79 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed Elche CF | 76c | 15.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.79 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Real Racing Club (-1.5)this page
- Real Racing Club vs. Elche CF: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Elche CF: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Elche CF: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Elche CF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Real Racing Club vs. Elche CF: Elche CF 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Real Racing Club vs. Elche CF: Elche CF 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Real Racing Club vs. Elche CF: Elche CF O/U 0.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Elche CF: Elche CF O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Elche CF: Elche CF O/U 2.5Under won
- Real Racing Club vs. Elche CF: O/U 0.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Elche CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Elche CF: O/U 3.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Elche CF: O/U 4.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Elche CF: O/U 5.5Under won
- Real Racing Club vs. Elche CF: Real Racing Club 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Elche CF: Real Racing Club O/U 0.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Elche CF: Real Racing Club O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: Elche CF (-1.5)Real Racing Club won
- Spread: Elche CF (-2.5)Real Racing Club won
- Spread: Real Racing Club (-2.5)Elche CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.