La Liga · resolved market
Real Racing Club vs. Elche CF: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x878d673a0a9c0c7b6e842bef7f8d3b77d48b65169e4b3baad7543bb6f6dba638
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,765
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,466
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,765 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f21…82d6backed Over | 17c | 4,880$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,050.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +82.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 58c | 4,368$2,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,533.43 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 43c | 3,524$1,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,991.84 | 3,571 | 42.6%1,522 W · 2,049 L | +26.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 27c | 3,302$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,417.27 | 510 | 48.6%248 W · 262 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 75c | 3,271$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,449.5 | 678 | 39.2%266 W · 412 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4d…3ac6backed Under | 15c | 2,667$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 14cpaid | +400%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3a…e974backed Over | 18c | 2,198$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,813.52 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a75…258abacked Under | 16c | 1,875$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.54per pick | 21cpaid | +251.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a42…984abacked Under | 16c | 1,875$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 20cpaid | +227.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under | 1c | 1,612$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 50 | 16%8 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 40c | 1,548$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.74 | 1,187 | 32.4%385 W · 802 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb418…ef38backed Over | 43c | 1,524$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.41 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 25c | 1,403$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052.22 | 326 | 35.3%115 W · 211 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Over | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 220 | 22.3%49 W · 171 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Over | 26c | 771.17$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.11 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 17c | 578.97$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.55 | 198 | 47.5%94 W · 104 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Over | 17c | 533.04$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.58 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89d2…252abacked Over | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 3c | 436.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d06…755bbacked Under | 66c | 432.62$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.53 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Under | 51c | 404.1$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…b6a4backed Over | 27c | 374.63$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +274.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Under | 29c | 355.87$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.34 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 47c | 342.14$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.7 | 635 | 58%368 W · 267 L | +44.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Under | 63c | 312.86$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.1 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 14c | 286.27$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.47 | 4,856 | 47%2,282 W · 2,574 L | -17.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0f…1366backed Over | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked Over | 63c | 241.15$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.4 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…6633backed Over | 17c | 233.64$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.92 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +82%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x516c…3d58backed Over | 17c | 208.65$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.18 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Under | 46c | 169.57$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 43c | 134.98$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.94 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -7.6wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -39%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 60c | 116.98$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.23 | 154 | 50.6%78 W · 76 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 35c | 102.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.07 | 118 | 45.8%54 W · 64 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ea…105dbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3303…9895backed Under | 78c | 98.72$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e6…5e18backed Under | 63c | 97.14$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eab…6a7dbacked Over | 46c | 88.51$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.98 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 49c | 87.72$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.74 | 381 | 44.9%171 W · 210 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…8d4cbacked Over | 61c | 81.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.86 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 39c | 79$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.43 | 1,674 | 43.9%735 W · 939 L | -21.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Under | 67c | 68.14$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.8 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 58c | 67.81$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.33 | 1,645 | 38.6%635 W · 1,010 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5f…1f5cbacked Under | 53c | 66.04$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3594…6533backed Under | 53c | 66.04$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Over | 29c | 63$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.86 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc28c…6fb2backed Under | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95e9…67b6backed Over | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.02 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe419…8aedbacked Under | 62c | 39.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07ae…69e9backed Under | 55c | 38.03$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e82…7ab7backed Under | 56c | 35.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Under | 57c | 35.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 144 | 41.7%60 W · 84 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6dd…5e33backed Under | 53c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3a…d1ccbacked Over | 36c | 33.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b4…7c3fbacked Over | 44c | 31.86$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.69 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Under | 61c | 24.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1195…3763backed Under | 59c | 22.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a24…36ddbacked Under | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf94c…4484backed Under | 61c | 19.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Racing Club vs. Elche CF: O/U 4.5this page
- Real Racing Club vs. Elche CF: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Elche CF: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Elche CF: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Elche CF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Real Racing Club vs. Elche CF: Elche CF 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Real Racing Club vs. Elche CF: Elche CF 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Real Racing Club vs. Elche CF: Elche CF O/U 0.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Elche CF: Elche CF O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Elche CF: Elche CF O/U 2.5Under won
- Real Racing Club vs. Elche CF: O/U 0.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Elche CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Elche CF: O/U 3.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Elche CF: O/U 5.5Under won
- Real Racing Club vs. Elche CF: Real Racing Club 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Elche CF: Real Racing Club O/U 0.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Elche CF: Real Racing Club O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: Elche CF (-1.5)Real Racing Club won
- Spread: Elche CF (-2.5)Real Racing Club won
- Spread: Real Racing Club (-1.5)Elche CF won
- Spread: Real Racing Club (-2.5)Elche CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.