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La Liga · resolved market

Real Racing Club vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$69,907
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$73,849

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,907 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x34a1…7622backed Under44c10,000$4,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,349.994240.5%17 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over53c8,234$4,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,849.621,29351.5%666 W · 627 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a8f…e5f5backed Under43c8,000$3,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,4401233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under47c7,621$3,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,569.8517039.4%67 W · 103 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over57c6,295$3,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,734.991,18732.4%385 W · 802 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-24.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x162c…6c47backed Over53c5,602$2,969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,632.951070%7 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+25%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over53c4,340$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,039.7920553.2%109 W · 96 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8412…7fc8backed Over56c3,987$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,736.472100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+133.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x821d…cf16backed Over58c3,278$1,891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,386.511041.8%46 W · 64 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Over56c2,070$1,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$910.6813144.3%58 W · 73 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under45c2,013$913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$913.0172455.8%404 W · 320 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5652…00c9backed Under46c2,000$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$929.983542.9%15 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under45c1,529$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.3824639%96 W · 150 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under47c1,457$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.253,57142.6%1,522 W · 2,049 L+26.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Over51c1,399$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.574535.6%16 W · 29 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over65c1,210$787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.8567839.2%266 W · 412 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under44c999.97$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.9822022.3%49 W · 171 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Under43c924.68$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.042846.4%13 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under47c646.18$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.780950.3%407 W · 402 L+1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb72…291fbacked Over56c634$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.96771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+34.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Over70c616.61$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.651145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa71d…9854backed Over53c550.9$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.92560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbbc…5921backed Over56c535.71$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.71450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x240a…814cbacked Under45c514.13$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.533557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over57c512$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.1614759.2%87 W · 60 L+14.6wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+24.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over55c509.56$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.241,10448.5%535 W · 569 L+21.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6534…7cc7backed Under43c496$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.284129.3%12 W · 29 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-40.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9958…b9acbacked Over56c468.93$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.333066.7%20 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cb6…15cdbacked Over48c461.95$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.121070%7 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+21.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a47…3b21backed Under43c440$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.24060%24 W · 16 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under43c427.04$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.2119847.5%94 W · 104 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Under38c408$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.021353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6d1…286abacked Over56c381$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.64977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.25per pick53cpaid+47.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9e3a…e974backed Under30c377$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.110443.3%45 W · 59 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Over64c362$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.028046.3%37 W · 43 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-25.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over57c331.62$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.5974350.2%373 W · 370 L+18.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bb8…7017backed Over53c283.02$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.02837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x57ef…044abacked Over53c283.01$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.01742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-28.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over63c239.54$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.2948338.3%185 W · 298 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-27.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0e7…9461backed Over76c228.89$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.291533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-53.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbedb…6bc3backed Under45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under43c212.44$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.3513357.9%77 W · 56 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x488c…a2dabacked Over58c206.9$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.912459.7%74 W · 50 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3ae…d117backed Under46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed Under43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$867650%38 W · 38 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2810…a1a8backed Under47c199.99$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9418142.5%77 W · 104 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe419…8aedbacked Under51c197$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.193432.4%11 W · 23 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under45c192$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.5920942.6%89 W · 120 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea2f…9dabbacked Under15c190$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick38cpaid-78.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x38bd…b8f3backed Over58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.41955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over56c171.82$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.62,39448.4%1,159 W · 1,235 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f41…260ebacked Under43c169$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.67850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Under47c144.69$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-25.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x536e…4fd5backed Over53c141.32$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.42580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+41%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7285…3273backed Under44c141$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.541850%9 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81a9…df08backed Under47c113$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.111241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d8a…24c2backed Over53c112$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.641747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick38cpaid-3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd577…c012backed Over53c109.09$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.271553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over48c108.5$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.4251048.6%248 W · 262 L+14.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa894…2830backed Under43c105.42$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.33862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca08…08bdbacked Over56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445100%5 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+165.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7b18…dd26backed Under47c90.81$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.684555.6%25 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0145…35d0backed Over58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.211163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over56c84.23$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.0233531.3%105 W · 230 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over57c83.53$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.9256538.1%215 W · 350 L+1.5wins0.00per pick38cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4043458.5%254 W · 180 L+32.9wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Under46c79.05$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.377941.8%33 W · 46 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Under48c77.53$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.991435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.19per pick54cpaid-43.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x95e9…67b6backed Over54c61.11$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.111060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+28.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fd7…9c01backed Under46c61.11$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.111723.5%4 W · 13 L-3.7wins-0.22per pick45cpaid-49.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdc36…0665backed Over50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302657.7%15 W · 11 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+23.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed Over53c54.74$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.734146.3%19 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2827…4ee7backed Over56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.571040%4 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9eeb…a72cbacked Under48c52.87$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.222744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over53c50.99$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.961,65851.7%858 W · 800 L-6.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bec…8d52backed Over53c50.4$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.696445.3%29 W · 35 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under43c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2511755.6%65 W · 52 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked Under44c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227533.3%25 W · 50 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb67c…1e89backed Over54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d93…fdefbacked Under31c46$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.266848.5%33 W · 35 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed Under46c45$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.73138.7%12 W · 19 L-3.7wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-26.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbbdf…b8a0backed Under43c40$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.22552%13 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under43c40$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.210652.8%56 W · 50 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x042d…0b81backed Over55c37.33$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.82272.7%16 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick68cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1488…409dbacked Over54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.043948.7%19 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x232f…8002backed Over53c36.98$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.38650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10af…2d06backed Over53c36.36$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.09742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f5a…9682backed Over56c35$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdae…6ad2backed Over58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.484161%25 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick64cpaid+2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13b8…2348backed Under45c33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under48c31.9$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3121050%105 W · 105 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x545d…70ffbacked Under44c30.76$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.531323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.24per pick47cpaid-55.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3cf2…ac54backed Under47c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d45…7e85backed Under47c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb797…1cf3backed Under44c29.55$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.18per pick57cpaid-36.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x947d…dff0backed Over53c27.27$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.82757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5c9…a4fcbacked Over57c26.32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.324365.1%28 W · 15 L+7.3wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+22.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x4ba3…97cebacked Over56c23.44$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.311747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+31.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa625…fac6backed Over56c23.44$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.312050%10 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+27.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Under46c22.74$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4412846.1%59 W · 69 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.