La Liga · resolved market
Real Racing Club vs. Elche CF: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30c66846c6a7514c94f776ca44490cea81582f2e8524a451d6146ecd64385815
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,757
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,395
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,757 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 59c | 5,085$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,084.75 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed No | 41c | 3,742$1,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,534.22 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeee…43a6backed No | 40c | 2,036$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.4 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed No | 43c | 1,676$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.42 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 41c | 1,393$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.71 | 724 | 55.8%404 W · 320 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 59c | 1,203$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.26 | 1,293 | 51.5%666 W · 627 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 52c | 1,154$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.82 | 326 | 35.3%115 W · 211 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 59c | 1,132$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.23 | 209 | 42.6%89 W · 120 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Yes | 59c | 726.63$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.15 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf1…370abacked No | 61c | 500.7$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…4b5bbacked No | 41c | 463.98$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad7f…18cdbacked No | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Yes | 59c | 396.08$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.39 | 198 | 47.5%94 W · 104 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 50c | 380.45$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.65 | 483 | 38.3%185 W · 298 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 59c | 275.96$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.74 | 510 | 48.6%248 W · 262 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 61c | 252.11$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.63 | 647 | 32.3%209 W · 438 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 58c | 234.7$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.57 | 246 | 39%96 W · 150 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473c…22fdbacked No | 43c | 230$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.9 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 39c | 206.2$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.42 | 749 | 49.8%373 W · 376 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…a3b6backed Yes | 39c | 192.75$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.58 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5db…5800backed Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Yes | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.66 | 66 | 25.8%17 W · 49 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 891 | 39.8%355 W · 536 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 381 | 44.9%171 W · 210 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 434 | 58.5%254 W · 180 L | +32.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32ea…105dbacked No | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd1…2647backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0145…35d0backed Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5807…74dcbacked No | 44c | 88.64$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4208…a0c2backed Yes | 55c | 86$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.31 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 69cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 61c | 79.13$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.86 | 335 | 31.3%105 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 40c | 62.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.71 | 1,658 | 51.7%858 W · 800 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2035…d536backed No | 39c | 61.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 46c | 57.6$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 3,571 | 42.6%1,522 W · 2,049 L | +26.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Yes | 39c | 56.25$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.31 | 168 | 63.1%106 W · 62 L | +32.6wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Yes | 39c | 55$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.46 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked No | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95e9…67b6backed Yes | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe419…8aedbacked No | 50c | 47.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.62 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…6e97backed No | 42c | 40.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked No | 41c | 39.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 35c | 39.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.81 | 147 | 33.3%49 W · 98 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a28…eff6backed Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3324…3b4cbacked Yes | 38c | 35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x545d…70ffbacked No | 40c | 33.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Yes | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.73 | 118 | 45.8%54 W · 64 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…c208backed Yes | 35c | 29.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.49 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x709b…ae96backed No | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7cd…a2d6backed No | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba1b…82fdbacked Yes | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Racing Club vs. Elche CF: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Real Racing Club vs. Elche CF: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Elche CF: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Elche CF: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Elche CF: Elche CF 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Real Racing Club vs. Elche CF: Elche CF 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Real Racing Club vs. Elche CF: Elche CF O/U 0.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Elche CF: Elche CF O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Elche CF: Elche CF O/U 2.5Under won
- Real Racing Club vs. Elche CF: O/U 0.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Elche CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Elche CF: O/U 3.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Elche CF: O/U 4.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Elche CF: O/U 5.5Under won
- Real Racing Club vs. Elche CF: Real Racing Club 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Elche CF: Real Racing Club O/U 0.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Elche CF: Real Racing Club O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: Elche CF (-1.5)Real Racing Club won
- Spread: Elche CF (-2.5)Real Racing Club won
- Spread: Real Racing Club (-1.5)Elche CF won
- Spread: Real Racing Club (-2.5)Elche CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.