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La Liga · resolved market

Real Racing Club vs. Elche CF: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,557
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$8,975

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,557 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc291…5d74backed Under26c1,408$366 inLost-$366.061,64538.6%635 W · 1,010 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa442…3b25backed Over74c1,408$1,042 inWon+$366.06560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick70cpaid-22%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x240a…814cbacked Under21c1,185$249 inLost-$248.853557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over79c1,059$836 inWon+$222.2974949.8%373 W · 376 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under21c988$211 inLost-$211.4872455.8%404 W · 320 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over79c729.01$576 inWon+$153.4167839.2%266 W · 412 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under21c548.72$115 inLost-$115.2324639%96 W · 150 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over80c511.95$410 inWon+$102.3914759.2%87 W · 60 L+14.6wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+24.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over79c478.93$378 inWon+$100.5880950.3%407 W · 402 L+1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x821d…cf16backed Under20c400.96$80 inLost-$80.3311041.8%46 W · 64 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Over80c339.48$272 inWon+$67.913144.3%58 W · 73 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under20c339.48$68 inLost-$67.919847.5%94 W · 104 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc92c…6f15backed Over80c250$200 inWon+$502055%11 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed Over80c248.75$199 inWon+$49.751546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under20c237.75$48 inLost-$47.5512053.3%64 W · 56 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under21c147.1$31 inLost-$30.8948338.3%185 W · 298 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-27.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over79c111.49$88 inWon+$23.412,39448.4%1,159 W · 1,235 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over78c69$54 inWon+$15.251,65851.7%858 W · 800 L-6.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under23c45$10 inLost-$10.351,18732.4%385 W · 802 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-24.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23f8…2c9abacked Over79c25.32$20 inWon+$5.322100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+42.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd00…c7eabacked Over79c12.99$10 inWon+$2.73250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick78cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.