Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FK Crvena zvezda win on 2026-08-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x80dd15db6c20f1c0622785d7e7fc41bf234a93fc824a65611da046c3ab54db22
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,174
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,164
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,174 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 72c | 8,613$6,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,448.97 | 2,795 | 34.8%973 W · 1,822 L | -86.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 28c | 3,000$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.21 | 384 | 31.5%121 W · 263 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 17c | 2,243$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.63 | 3,247 | 42.2%1,370 W · 1,877 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Yes | 27c | 1,731$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.86 | 334 | 42.5%142 W · 192 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Yes | 28c | 1,630$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.48 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 15c | 1,592$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.2 | 1,895 | 38.7%734 W · 1,161 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…51abbacked Yes | 14c | 1,569$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 72c | 1,468$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.89 | 659 | 43.9%289 W · 370 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 70c | 1,394$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.86 | 725 | 50.2%364 W · 361 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5180…9cf1backed Yes | 30c | 1,327$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 30c | 1,316$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.01 | 1,219 | 36.3%442 W · 777 L | -18.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 70c | 1,068$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.65 | 1,290 | 49.1%633 W · 657 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 29c | 1,011$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.68 | 760 | 37.4%284 W · 476 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 28c | 943.71$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.81 | 1,104 | 45.4%501 W · 603 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 21c | 924.7$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.32 | 851 | 42%357 W · 494 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed No | 70c | 790.75$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.22 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 28c | 712$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.36 | 144 | 34.7%50 W · 94 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 3c | 655.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 1,222 | 45.3%553 W · 669 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 28c | 634.29$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.6 | 772 | 48.8%377 W · 395 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x946f…67c1backed No | 76c | 605.57$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.91 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed No | 72c | 510.52$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.24 | 145 | 61.4%89 W · 56 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…3d5dbacked No | 73c | 410.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.96 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31ad…089abacked Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 30c | 329.95$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.26 | 113 | 67.3%76 W · 37 L | +13.6wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf762…d55fbacked No | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -5.7wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -24%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 69c | 277.85$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.13 | 106 | 55.7%59 W · 47 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe891…0145backed Yes | 30c | 266.67$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 28c | 246.9$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.19 | 326 | 36.5%119 W · 207 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 73c | 216.7$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.07 | 222 | 37.8%84 W · 138 L | -14.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…4476backed Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked No | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked No | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked No | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 93 | 58.1%54 W · 39 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 155 | 58.1%90 W · 65 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Yes | 30c | 195.73$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.52 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab0…ba53backed Yes | 30c | 159.47$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.84 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 70c | 156.86$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 143 | 58%83 W · 60 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed No | 70c | 152$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 226 | 44.2%100 W · 126 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 70c | 130.96$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.93 | 543 | 53.8%292 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3491…0242backed No | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 71c | 120.16$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 1,200 | 47.4%569 W · 631 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 70c | 115.08$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 1,034 | 50.8%525 W · 509 L | +16.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb8…067cbacked No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.48 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39df…976abacked Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 21c | 75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 470 | 36%169 W · 301 L | -19.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 27c | 74.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 891 | 53.4%476 W · 415 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed No | 73c | 72.8$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.66 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +5.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed No | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +10.2wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9735…db39backed No | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked No | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 107 | 66.4%71 W · 36 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 70c | 62.49$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 495 | 55.4%274 W · 221 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 636 | 49.5%315 W · 321 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked No | 73c | 58.59$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.97 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Yes | 29c | 56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 148 | 39.9%59 W · 89 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39f9…fcc3backed No | 73c | 54.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked No | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x239d…daebbacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 29c | 48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 71c | 46.27$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 632 | 49.1%310 W · 322 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 78c | 45.9$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.07 | 2,738 | 40.2%1,100 W · 1,638 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e06…362cbacked No | 72c | 43.01$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x884b…c480backed No | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed No | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Yes | 27c | 38.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 413 | 43.3%179 W · 234 L | -12.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked No | 71c | 34.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed No | 71c | 16.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed No | 73c | 15.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.13 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed No | 73c | 15.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.07 | 331 | 42.9%142 W · 189 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FK Crvena zvezda win on 2026-08-27?this page
- Will FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. FK Crvena zvezda end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Viktoria Plzeň win on 2026-08-27?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.