Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. FK Crvena zvezda end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4fbb3f3f38dec84b65863cc5e33ef9158c2b7c17922394d31c427d0d45cbae99
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,724
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,884
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,724 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 28c | 3,862$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.78 | 2,795 | 34.8%973 W · 1,822 L | -86.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 72c | 1,732$1,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.73 | 851 | 42%357 W · 494 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 72c | 1,392$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.9 | 3,247 | 42.2%1,370 W · 1,877 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Yes | 16c | 1,253$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.57 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 74c | 1,073$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.25 | 1,222 | 45.3%553 W · 669 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc581…0f24backed Yes | 34c | 999.99$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 20c | 809.59$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.71 | 659 | 43.9%289 W · 370 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 32c | 514$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.48 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 74c | 333.99$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.36 | 222 | 37.8%84 W · 138 L | -14.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe891…0145backed Yes | 25c | 314$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed Yes | 22c | 276.04$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -49%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 74c | 203$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.2 | 303 | 45.2%137 W · 166 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefe9…b8ecbacked Yes | 17c | 193.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Yes | 13c | 177.22$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 334 | 42.5%142 W · 192 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Yes | 18c | 162.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.63 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 76c | 147.7$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.72 | 838 | 45%377 W · 461 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b9…90d0backed Yes | 17c | 143.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 79c | 142$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.19 | 543 | 53.8%292 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4117backed Yes | 21c | 129$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.82 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No | 72c | 127$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 85 | 74.1%63 W · 22 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 78c | 104$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 537 | 47.9%257 W · 280 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -25.3wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 129 | 31.8%41 W · 88 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Yes | 22c | 94.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 75c | 90.68$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.25 | 218 | 48.6%106 W · 112 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 76c | 83.23$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.73 | 205 | 43.9%90 W · 115 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 75c | 82.57$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.64 | 1,200 | 47.4%569 W · 631 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 80c | 82$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.71 | 347 | 54.8%190 W · 157 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 29c | 75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 470 | 36%169 W · 301 L | -19.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed No | 77c | 70$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.35 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 308 | 51%157 W · 151 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa52…865bbacked Yes | 32c | 45.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked No | 75c | 37.57$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 408 | 44.4%181 W · 227 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…4333backed No | 77c | 26.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.07 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 75c | 23.6$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 143 | 58%83 W · 60 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked No | 75c | 17.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.27 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 74c | 16.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.28 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39f9…fcc3backed No | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. FK Crvena zvezda end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Viktoria Plzeň win on 2026-08-27?Yes won
- Will FK Crvena zvezda win on 2026-08-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.