Europa Conference League · resolved market
Aarhus GF vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4dc8238e637f0c3e2bc73285257320512a3dba883ec56aae569ee96b40920855
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,214
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,338
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,214 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf978…9d31backed Over | 66c | 15,739$10,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,332.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x454b…5b8bbacked Over | 68c | 8,011$5,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,575.03 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 33c | 6,125$2,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,030.74 | 2,738 | 40.2%1,100 W · 1,638 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b8…e424backed Over | 68c | 3,815$2,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.47 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Under | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 106 | 55.7%59 W · 47 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 32c | 1,788$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.75 | 1,034 | 50.8%525 W · 509 L | +16.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 31c | 1,612$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.72 | 472 | 44.9%212 W · 260 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Under | 34c | 1,568$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.12 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 33c | 1,400$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.74 | 1,200 | 47.4%569 W · 631 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 32c | 1,328$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.56 | 1,290 | 49.1%633 W · 657 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 31c | 1,240$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.43 | 772 | 48.8%377 W · 395 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa69…02c1backed Under | 32c | 1,166$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.61 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 28c | 1,060$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.63 | 180 | 37.8%68 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 1,041 | 48%500 W · 541 L | +18.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 34c | 852.76$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.94 | 325 | 47.7%155 W · 170 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 34c | 803.5$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.19 | 2,434 | 37.3%909 W · 1,525 L | -9.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x145a…5e86backed Over | 67c | 794.32$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.35 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 34c | 770.8$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.69 | 933 | 41.4%386 W · 547 L | -15.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Under | 33c | 713.94$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.6 | 99 | 59.6%59 W · 40 L | +9.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 32c | 713.84$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.18 | 725 | 50.2%364 W · 361 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Under | 13c | 687.71$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.4 | 95 | 20%19 W · 76 L | +8.4wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 33c | 609$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.8 | 473 | 42.1%199 W · 274 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Under | 34c | 600$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Under | 35c | 600$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 145 | 61.4%89 W · 56 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Over | 63c | 576.67$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.37 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 27c | 551.16$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.79 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…cd12backed Under | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 67c | 493.98$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.7 | 760 | 37.4%284 W · 476 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…a8e0backed Under | 34c | 441.17$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked Under | 34c | 400$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under | 34c | 400$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under | 34c | 400$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Under | 34c | 400$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Under | 34c | 400$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under | 34c | 400$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 93 | 58.1%54 W · 39 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Under | 34c | 400$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 155 | 58.1%90 W · 65 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 33c | 309.01$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.88 | 1,793 | 54.8%983 W · 810 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 33c | 295.86$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.26 | 632 | 49.1%310 W · 322 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1031…2febbacked Under | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Under | 37c | 249.49$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.78 | 334 | 42.5%142 W · 192 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…ab50backed Over | 72c | 248.92$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.61 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1429…1cd8backed Over | 67c | 231.34$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x240a…814cbacked Over | 68c | 213.41$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.29 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 33c | 213.01$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.29 | 1,222 | 45.3%553 W · 669 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Under | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Under | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +9.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +25%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Under | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Under | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb8…067cbacked Under | 34c | 199.98$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.99 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 68c | 188$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 414 | 42.3%175 W · 239 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5af3…1534backed Over | 68c | 160.8$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.8 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked Under | 34c | 156$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.04 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7acc…c5b9backed Over | 77c | 151.22$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.78 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 32c | 134.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.91 | 749 | 39.4%295 W · 454 L | -23.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Under | 31c | 116$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.52 | 543 | 53.8%292 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 67c | 114.55$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.09 | 1,219 | 36.3%442 W · 777 L | -18.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 35c | 113.66$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.78 | 1,104 | 45.4%501 W · 603 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Under | 35c | 105.71$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Under | 34c | 102$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.68 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3f…c7f3backed Under | 29c | 101.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.93 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 495 | 55.4%274 W · 221 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 58c | 99.98$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.99 | 251 | 49.4%124 W · 127 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 34c | 99.66$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.88 | 763 | 56.1%428 W · 335 L | +21.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Under | 34c | 96.3$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.74 | 153 | 45.1%69 W · 84 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 34c | 80$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 891 | 53.4%476 W · 415 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Under | 34c | 80$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Under | 34c | 79.05$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.14 | 142 | 40.8%58 W · 84 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 34c | 78.75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.17 | 277 | 37.9%105 W · 172 L | -17.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Under | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Under | 34c | 75.93$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.82 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed Under | 35c | 74.53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Under | 34c | 64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Under | 48c | 62.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 388 | 55.4%215 W · 173 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 636 | 49.5%315 W · 321 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…7f06backed Under | 34c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 23c | 56.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 537 | 47.9%257 W · 280 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Over | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 837 | 33%276 W · 561 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Under | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 160 | 33.8%54 W · 106 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcd…c00fbacked Under | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 68c | 42.96$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 416 | 45.9%191 W · 225 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 66c | 40.82$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 308 | 51%157 W · 151 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under | 34c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +8.8wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Under | 34c | 39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 413 | 43.3%179 W · 234 L | -12.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 64c | 38.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 205 | 43.9%90 W · 115 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1573…a727backed Under | 39c | 38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d0d…57dabacked Over | 68c | 36.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…9351backed Over | 73c | 34.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.08 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3538…1035backed Over | 62c | 32.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 36c | 30.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 331 | 42.9%142 W · 189 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf2…ac54backed Under | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f65…ec56backed Over | 69c | 28.26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 70cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 77c | 25.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Aarhus GF vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5this page
- Aarhus GF vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Aarhus GF vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Aarhus GF vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 0.5Over won
- Aarhus GF vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 1.5Over won
- Aarhus GF vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 3.5Over won
- Aarhus GF vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 4.5Under won
- Aarhus GF vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5)Sport Lisboa e Benfica won
- Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5)Aarhus GF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.