Premier League · resolved market
Wrexham AFC vs. Birmingham City FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3964c88a03f9555ee06068e8d5c9356d149d33b9fd34c264c26d2d35d1bd606
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,673
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,874
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,673 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde31…df79backed Under | 54c | 20,881$11,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,258.31 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 56c | 7,514$4,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,237.12 | 785 | 42.5%334 W · 451 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Over | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 150 | 52%78 W · 72 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 44c | 3,821$1,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,140 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -6.0wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Over | 46c | 3,136$1,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,693.44 | 76 | 61.8%47 W · 29 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710 | 351 | 28.5%100 W · 251 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…4ac2backed Under | 57c | 2,800$1,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,595.96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Over | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 47c | 1,860$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.35 | 1,383 | 48.3%668 W · 715 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 39c | 1,411$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.17 | 4,892 | 41.5%2,028 W · 2,864 L | +25.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 43c | 1,268$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.92 | 749 | 50.7%380 W · 369 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 43c | 1,201$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.35 | 859 | 52.7%453 W · 406 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Over | 46c | 1,200$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648 | 506 | 49.8%252 W · 254 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Over | 46c | 1,200$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648 | 144 | 58.3%84 W · 60 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Over | 45c | 1,073$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.5 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 44c | 1,015$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.9 | 2,613 | 47.6%1,245 W · 1,368 L | +42.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Over | 44c | 1,000$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Over | 46c | 800$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Over | 46c | 800$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 146 | 54.8%80 W · 66 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 45c | 768$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.84 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 58c | 679.12$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.11 | 1,028 | 36.2%372 W · 656 L | -19.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 46c | 487$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.98 | 1,821 | 34.6%630 W · 1,191 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 57c | 429.62$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.88 | 654 | 47.4%310 W · 344 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 45c | 429.25$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.2 | 1,328 | 42.4%563 W · 765 L | -29.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Over | 46c | 407$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.78 | 225 | 37.8%85 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Over | 46c | 400$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 150 | 56%84 W · 66 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Over | 46c | 400$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 175 | 62.3%109 W · 66 L | +13.4wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Over | 46c | 400$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 147 | 59.2%87 W · 60 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 51c | 330.99$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.78 | 689 | 32.9%227 W · 462 L | -32.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked Over | 46c | 312$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.48 | 75 | 61.3%46 W · 29 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 58c | 304.78$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.77 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Over | 46c | 250.91$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.49 | 68 | 30.9%21 W · 47 L | -10.5wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Over | 46c | 204$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.16 | 128 | 57.8%74 W · 54 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Over | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Over | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb8…067cbacked Over | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 48cpaid | +110.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed Under | 53c | 199.93$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.96 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 45c | 186$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103 | 1,713 | 52.8%905 W · 808 L | +31.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 47c | 140.49$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.15 | 6,225 | 45.6%2,836 W · 3,389 L | -34.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x002f…92f3backed Under | 58c | 129.31$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0145…35d0backed Over | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf247…d8cabacked Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 46cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 65c | 95.46$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.41 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Over | 46c | 80$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 130 | 58.5%76 W · 54 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Over | 46c | 64$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.56 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed Over | 46c | 59.37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.06 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Under | 57c | 58.29$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 58c | 53.79$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.12 | 601 | 47.8%287 W · 314 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | +11.7wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…a787backed Over | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 153 | 45.8%70 W · 83 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee3…a899backed Under | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdce3…6431backed Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Over | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 150 | 58%87 W · 63 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Over | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 143 | 58.7%84 W · 59 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Over | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Over | 46c | 36.09$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.49 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 47c | 30.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.06 | 1,029 | 51.7%532 W · 497 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed Over | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 149 | 62.4%93 W · 56 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Over | 46c | 28.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.28 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 46c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 658 | 57.8%380 W · 278 L | +26.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 46c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 151 | 55%83 W · 68 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Under | 66c | 27.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a85…3699backed Over | 46c | 25.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.73 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 64cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over | 46c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 608 | 57.4%349 W · 259 L | +25.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…4a14backed Over | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wrexham AFC vs. Birmingham City FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Birmingham City FC (-1.5)Wrexham AFC won
- Spread: Birmingham City FC (-2.5)Wrexham AFC won
- Spread: Wrexham AFC (-1.5)Birmingham City FC won
- Spread: Wrexham AFC (-2.5)Birmingham City FC won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Birmingham City FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Birmingham City FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Birmingham City FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Birmingham City FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Birmingham City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Birmingham City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Birmingham City FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Birmingham City FC: Wrexham AFC O/U 1.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.