Premier League · resolved market
Wrexham AFC vs. Birmingham City FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65fc5df849ad05cc6bed1c04483b890bbfe90899e4766dcfd3cba26752ac4b0e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,331
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,546
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,331 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 52c | 40,633$21,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,386.39 | 175 | 36.6%64 W · 111 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed No | 47c | 8,544$4,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,036.19 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5d…191dbacked No | 48c | 8,000$3,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,840 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe988…8343backed No | 48c | 4,429$2,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,125.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 48c | 3,379$1,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,610.11 | 859 | 52.7%453 W · 406 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 48c | 3,055$1,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,466.53 | 749 | 50.7%380 W · 369 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 48c | 2,810$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339.54 | 1,821 | 34.6%630 W · 1,191 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 48c | 2,393$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,137.56 | 1,383 | 48.3%668 W · 715 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 48c | 1,560$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.79 | 225 | 37.8%85 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 48c | 1,412$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.88 | 601 | 47.8%287 W · 314 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 48c | 1,316$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.81 | 1,218 | 32.2%392 W · 826 L | -17.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 657 | 44.6%293 W · 364 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 47c | 811.42$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.68 | 1,328 | 42.4%563 W · 765 L | -29.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 45c | 527.6$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.52 | 689 | 32.9%227 W · 462 L | -32.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 48c | 512$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.76 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked No | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 47c | 422.04$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.26 | 1,713 | 52.8%905 W · 808 L | +31.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6daa…954abacked Yes | 52c | 366.29$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.82 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed No | 48c | 312.6$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.05 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 55c | 259.73$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.88 | 376 | 38.3%144 W · 232 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed No | 46c | 256$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.12 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed No | 47c | 213.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed No | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5da…625abacked Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce2…a9d0backed Yes | 51c | 123.5$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.91 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 142 | 57.7%82 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed No | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed No | 48c | 99.85$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.93 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes | 52c | 93.44$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.85 | 141 | 54.6%77 W · 64 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 48c | 67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.16 | 1,950 | 42.5%828 W · 1,122 L | -42.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 52c | 63.52$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.44 | 6,225 | 45.6%2,836 W · 3,389 L | -34.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x018e…5c3dbacked No | 48c | 60.41$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 47c | 51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.02 | 151 | 55%83 W · 68 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 48c | 48.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 654 | 47.4%310 W · 344 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2889…edcfbacked Yes | 51c | 42.6$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.87 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 53c | 41.89$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.69 | 506 | 49.8%252 W · 254 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca9…3c29backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3a…e85dbacked No | 47c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.22per pick | 45cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…5ae1backed Yes | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc96b…b045backed Yes | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +49%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad6…eab6backed No | 49c | 28.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wrexham AFC vs. Birmingham City FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Birmingham City FC (-1.5)Wrexham AFC won
- Spread: Birmingham City FC (-2.5)Wrexham AFC won
- Spread: Wrexham AFC (-1.5)Birmingham City FC won
- Spread: Wrexham AFC (-2.5)Birmingham City FC won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Birmingham City FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Birmingham City FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Birmingham City FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Birmingham City FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Birmingham City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Birmingham City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Birmingham City FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Birmingham City FC: Wrexham AFC O/U 1.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.