Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: RSC Anderlecht (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb6c792202d73867c04b38c9e2109574f9e7ed05582af3403e4a68928e465304c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- RSC Anderlechtof RSC Anderlecht, Qairat FK
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,279
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,118
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,279 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked RSC Anderlecht | 53c | 6,000$3,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,840 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +37%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked RSC Anderlecht | 49c | 5,879$2,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,010.64 | 1,104 | 45.4%501 W · 603 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4956…e2c7backed Qairat FK | 47c | 5,500$2,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,585 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Qairat FK | 50c | 4,499$2,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,262.47 | 2,795 | 34.8%973 W · 1,822 L | -86.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed RSC Anderlecht | 52c | 4,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,899.99 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +6.6wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Qairat FK | 48c | 3,279$1,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,581.49 | 1,895 | 38.7%734 W · 1,161 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…7c4ebacked Qairat FK | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Qairat FK | 52c | 2,538$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.62 | 2,738 | 40.2%1,100 W · 1,638 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Qairat FK | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb437…cfb3backed RSC Anderlecht | 48c | 2,000$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Qairat FK | 51c | 1,970$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.33 | 1,290 | 49.1%633 W · 657 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed RSC Anderlecht | 48c | 1,258$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.11 | 760 | 37.4%284 W · 476 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Qairat FK | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 94 | 27.7%26 W · 68 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd423…99e9backed RSC Anderlecht | 46c | 799.16$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.6 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked RSC Anderlecht | 48c | 692$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.84 | 414 | 42.3%175 W · 239 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked RSC Anderlecht | 52c | 512$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.76 | 325 | 47.7%155 W · 170 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…286abacked RSC Anderlecht | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…6c47backed RSC Anderlecht | 46c | 405.55$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219 | 114 | 57%65 W · 49 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed RSC Anderlecht | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Qairat FK | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfb…8beabacked Qairat FK | 54c | 391.29$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.3 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Qairat FK | 50c | 310.44$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.22 | 241 | 49%118 W · 123 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed RSC Anderlecht | 51c | 259.74$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed RSC Anderlecht | 50c | 216.17$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.68 | 1,200 | 47.4%569 W · 631 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed RSC Anderlecht | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Qairat FK | 47c | 199.99$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 155 | 58.1%90 W · 65 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed RSC Anderlecht | 45c | 180$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed RSC Anderlecht | 51c | 175$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.75 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x536e…4fd5backed RSC Anderlecht | 47c | 159.57$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.57 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Qairat FK | 52c | 119.92$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.96 | 277 | 37.9%105 W · 172 L | -17.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed RSC Anderlecht | 48c | 110.38$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.4 | 1,219 | 36.3%442 W · 777 L | -18.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Qairat FK | 54c | 105.69$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.07 | 1,222 | 45.3%553 W · 669 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed Qairat FK | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked RSC Anderlecht | 66c | 95.77$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 3,247 | 42.2%1,370 W · 1,877 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…7f06backed RSC Anderlecht | 46c | 80$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Qairat FK | 51c | 80$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Qairat FK | 49c | 71.18$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.87 | 1,793 | 54.8%983 W · 810 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed RSC Anderlecht | 52c | 64$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.72 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x508d…3961backed Qairat FK | 48c | 59.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eeb…a72cbacked RSC Anderlecht | 50c | 57.2$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.52 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Qairat FK | 51c | 52.89$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.97 | 1,034 | 50.8%525 W · 509 L | +16.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Qairat FK | 54c | 51.76$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 891 | 53.4%476 W · 415 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…6163backed RSC Anderlecht | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb1…fa48backed RSC Anderlecht | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Qairat FK | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Qairat FK | 54c | 39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 413 | 43.3%179 W · 234 L | -12.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78b1…c6c9backed Qairat FK | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Qairat FK | 54c | 32.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Qairat FK | 47c | 31.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Qairat FK | 47c | 26.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 334 | 42.5%142 W · 192 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked RSC Anderlecht | 47c | 25.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +8.1wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: RSC Anderlecht (-1.5)this page
- RSC Anderlecht vs. Qairat FK: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- RSC Anderlecht vs. Qairat FK: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- RSC Anderlecht vs. Qairat FK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- RSC Anderlecht vs. Qairat FK: O/U 0.5Over won
- RSC Anderlecht vs. Qairat FK: O/U 1.5Over won
- RSC Anderlecht vs. Qairat FK: O/U 2.5Over won
- RSC Anderlecht vs. Qairat FK: O/U 3.5Under won
- RSC Anderlecht vs. Qairat FK: O/U 4.5Under won
- RSC Anderlecht vs. Qairat FK: O/U 5.5Under won
- RSC Anderlecht vs. Qairat FK: Qairat FK O/U 0.5Under won
- RSC Anderlecht vs. Qairat FK: RSC Anderlecht 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- RSC Anderlecht vs. Qairat FK: RSC Anderlecht O/U 1.5Over won
- RSC Anderlecht vs. Qairat FK: Team to AdvanceRSC Anderlecht won
- Spread: Qairat FK (-1.5)RSC Anderlecht won
- Spread: RSC Anderlecht (-2.5)RSC Anderlecht won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.