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Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-08-27?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$83,553
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$85,074

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,553 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf505…4c26backed No19c4,000$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80cf…30aabacked No17c3,731$652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651.88837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-37.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes69c3,645$2,515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,129.9514434.7%50 W · 94 L-9.6wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed No17c3,626$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.681643.8%7 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.15per pick28cpaid-4.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked No27c3,125$842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$842.4925248.8%123 W · 129 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked No25c2,574$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.085056%28 W · 22 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed No18c2,384$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.333455.9%19 W · 15 L+5.0wins+0.15per pick41cpaid+46.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No30c1,964$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.641,03450.8%525 W · 509 L+16.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes70c1,458$1,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.4320440.7%83 W · 121 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xad31…c93abacked Yes76c1,307$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.762927.6%8 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes68c1,189$809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.7214749%72 W · 75 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54a2…1d43backed Yes69c1,119$772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.773935.9%14 W · 25 L+4.3wins+0.11per pick25cpaid+71.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x553b…6bebbacked Yes67c1,069$716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.932100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x584a…8b8abacked No19c1,035$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.71850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No18c1,006$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.5993341.4%386 W · 547 L-15.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf97…2cb3backed Yes80c1,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No31c999.98$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.9972550.2%364 W · 361 L+20.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No31c931.4$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.7377248.8%377 W · 395 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x13e4…8b89backed No20c866.99$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.43450%17 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0693…9679backed No12c851.15$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.15933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick21cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes70c820.38$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.351,21936.3%442 W · 777 L-18.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x821d…cf16backed No17c728$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.7633442.5%142 W · 192 L-13.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No6c688$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0541245.6%188 W · 224 L+25.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+1.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd09…8974backed No22c670$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.613125.8%8 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-57.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed No7c587.25$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.8710359.2%61 W · 42 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed No19c552.62$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1051926.3%5 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-56.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x63ab…eb49backed No4c531.91$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.28333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-57.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes69c499.47$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.842,79534.8%973 W · 1,822 L-86.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No33c475.5$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.721,29049.1%633 W · 657 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No31c353.36$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.5447244.9%212 W · 260 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No31c351.7$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.3963249.1%310 W · 322 L+2.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No31c314.38$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.481,20047.4%569 W · 631 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb4cc…09a3backed No15c294.12$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.12850%4 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+34.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed No11c286.98$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2612239.3%48 W · 74 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-27%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No30c268.24$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.731,79354.8%983 W · 810 L+11.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No18c254$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.728574.1%63 W · 22 L+9.4wins+0.11per pick63cpaid+18.1%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked No4c250$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10267.7%2 W · 24 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-71.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeefa…f400backed No16c240$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.41233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7245…4b00backed Yes74c236.01$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.031637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked No16c225.49$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.9454353.8%292 W · 251 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No32c201.29$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.3114358%83 W · 60 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked No31c200$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628955.1%49 W · 40 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No31c200$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6210956.9%62 W · 47 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked No31c200$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628956.2%50 W · 39 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6868…24f0backed Yes70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6023240.9%95 W · 137 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked No31c200$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629358.1%54 W · 39 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No31c199.99$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6215558.1%90 W · 65 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed No30c199.99$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606336.5%23 W · 40 L-6.8wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-24.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes69c169.96$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.6976037.4%284 W · 476 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes74c145.59$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.3383733%276 W · 561 L-12.3wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-25.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5da…625abacked Yes69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.93771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No9c136.98$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1553747.9%257 W · 280 L-1.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca10backed Yes77c129.96$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.968648.8%42 W · 44 L+10.2wins+0.12per pick37cpaid+42.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2035…dc1cbacked No19c123.89$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.54425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-67.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No31c120.55$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.3749555.4%274 W · 221 L+22.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed No14c119.55$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.029852%51 W · 47 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac4c…2200backed Yes67c117.54$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.58757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid+6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed No32c117.33$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.729153.8%49 W · 42 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaaca…f5d5backed No30c113$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.922644.2%100 W · 126 L-1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x240a…814cbacked Yes70c101.52$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.461855.6%10 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No31c101$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3134449.1%169 W · 175 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5537…f9c8backed Yes70c99.99$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+23%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed No31c99.97$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.998955.1%49 W · 40 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcb8…067cbacked No32c99$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.315060%30 W · 20 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+8.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0ab0…ba53backed Yes69c98.91$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.661752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes76c97.37$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.3767756.3%381 W · 296 L+34.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes69c86$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.662,73840.2%1,100 W · 1,638 L-1.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40e9…494fbacked No13c80.84$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.782646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick41cpaid-25.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79f5…79c7backed Yes66c74.48$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.321947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed No14c73.17$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102832.1%9 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-32.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc34c…2e29backed Yes69c72.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.46977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick62cpaid+23%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x002f…92f3backed Yes70c71.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.432181%17 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.15per pick66cpaid+24.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3820…ffc3backed No30c68.6$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.581050%5 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+25.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d85…e6f6backed Yes70c68$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No31c67$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7717447.7%83 W · 91 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed No30c58.32$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.57122.5%16 W · 55 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-39.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x403c…7f06backed No32c55.15$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.756454.7%35 W · 29 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf397…f3c8backed Yes74c54.14$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.08580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+48.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ef1…4a76backed No31c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.52343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes69c42$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8841442.3%175 W · 239 L-1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed No31c39.98$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3910158.4%59 W · 42 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1fd…10ccbacked Yes77c39.23$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.022356.5%13 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x20ad…f368backed Yes77c38.99$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.994151.2%21 W · 20 L+5.9wins+0.14per pick37cpaid+38.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe13c…1159backed Yes69c36.23$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.23650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53c8…7f69backed Yes70c35.71$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.714841.7%20 W · 28 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2c3…f821backed No35c35$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.28per pick62cpaid-55.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed No34c32.37$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0133142.9%142 W · 189 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06f5…fcf3backed Yes69c31.8$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87d3…a568backed Yes69c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.991266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80a8…b58bbacked Yes69c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.99580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Yes69c26.84$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.3230851%157 W · 151 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6204…50a2backed Yes66c22.73$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.73560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+45.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x812c…b81fbacked Yes69c21.74$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.741968.4%13 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24e1…5ad3backed Yes68c17.65$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.65683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick68cpaid+26.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe157…4961backed Yes69c17.39$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.39366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ade…03cfbacked Yes67c14.87$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Yes70c14.43$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.338257.3%47 W · 35 L-0.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.