Premier League · resolved market
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-08-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a2cd71f2d95b579fd2d9d35478b7520db74cc3754cf685a70b452a40f21543b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,493
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,749
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,493 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 29c | 6,915$2,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,008.6 | 1,028 | 36.2%372 W · 656 L | -19.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed No | 76c | 5,575$4,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,364.09 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd41a…aa9fbacked Yes | 13c | 2,646$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 58c | 2,250$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.99 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03c6…3dd2backed Yes | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 13c | 1,010$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.95 | 689 | 32.9%227 W · 462 L | -32.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 74c | 487.16$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.07 | 4,892 | 41.5%2,028 W · 2,864 L | +25.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x487e…0d66backed Yes | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 40cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 58c | 451.84$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.34 | 1,328 | 42.4%563 W · 765 L | -29.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 58c | 400$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 175 | 62.3%109 W · 66 L | +13.4wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 44c | 341.52$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.27 | 219 | 39.3%86 W · 133 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 195 | 28.7%56 W · 139 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 43c | 233$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.19 | 544 | 28.1%153 W · 391 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf4…5324backed Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 40c | 211$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.4 | 228 | 47.8%109 W · 119 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 13c | 192.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 10cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf481…1b6bbacked Yes | 44c | 181.82$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 57c | 146.2$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.15 | 1,713 | 52.8%905 W · 808 L | +31.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 43c | 145.77$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.68 | 685 | 39.9%273 W · 412 L | +12.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e9…e746backed Yes | 44c | 136.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 40cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff1f…4324backed Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31ad…089abacked Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 33cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 44c | 104.07$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.79 | 376 | 38.3%144 W · 232 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 6,225 | 45.6%2,836 W · 3,389 L | -34.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed No | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed No | 58c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 130 | 58.5%76 W · 54 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46d4…ab12backed Yes | 15c | 78.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 29cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…f3a4backed Yes | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe419…8aedbacked No | 71c | 55.64$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.14 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaca…49e6backed Yes | 43c | 48.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf18…af99backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 119 | 57.1%68 W · 51 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 58c | 45.28$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.17 | 1,029 | 51.7%532 W · 497 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 44c | 42.84$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 397 | 33%131 W · 266 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…2ed2backed Yes | 44c | 42.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked No | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 143 | 58.7%84 W · 59 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 66c | 27.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 993 | 45.8%455 W · 538 L | +14.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 63c | 25.2$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 151 | 55%83 W · 68 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad6…eab6backed No | 71c | 18.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.47 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-08-28?this page
- Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-08-28?Yes won
- Will Wrexham AFC vs. Birmingham City FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.