Premier League · resolved market
Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-08-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71177b6c03c4d1a325b00d14dffe1b2b5baf573e26b1509c55084f1720256890
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,219
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,234
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,219 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e5c…ab50backed No | 2c | 10,153$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.55 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 57c | 6,269$3,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,586.48 | 1,028 | 36.2%372 W · 656 L | -19.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 70c | 5,234$3,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,577.38 | 1,218 | 32.2%392 W · 826 L | -17.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 29c | 4,899$1,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,478.29 | 228 | 47.8%109 W · 119 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 21c | 4,450$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.68 | 4,892 | 41.5%2,028 W · 2,864 L | +25.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x851b…961ebacked Yes | 29c | 3,448$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,448.28 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Yes | 78c | 3,128$2,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.57 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 71c | 2,016$1,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,431.31 | 1,383 | 48.3%668 W · 715 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Yes | 29c | 1,970$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,397.86 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8973…f760backed No | 40c | 1,944$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.65 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 34c | 1,297$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.23 | 689 | 32.9%227 W · 462 L | -32.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 71c | 1,250$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.5 | 859 | 52.7%453 W · 406 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed No | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 75c | 858.31$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.5 | 206 | 59.2%122 W · 84 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 48c | 813.9$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.57 | 601 | 47.8%287 W · 314 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…f08abacked No | 75c | 799.68$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.76 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.40per pick | 44cpaid | +149.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 643.58$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.94 | 2,613 | 47.6%1,245 W · 1,368 L | +42.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 71c | 615.51$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.4 | 657 | 44.6%293 W · 364 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 56c | 340$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.6 | 140 | 60.7%85 W · 55 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 71c | 330.45$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.61 | 1,821 | 34.6%630 W · 1,191 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 71c | 274.34$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.78 | 225 | 37.8%85 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9133…20acbacked Yes | 61c | 205$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.95 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb5…9520backed Yes | 29c | 191.76$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +158.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 35c | 183.05$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.44 | 100 | 38%38 W · 62 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 71c | 174.1$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.61 | 1,328 | 42.4%563 W · 765 L | -29.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b03…b127backed Yes | 29c | 172.8$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.8 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06b…10fabacked Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d29…65e7backed No | 28c | 150$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd09b…8e44backed Yes | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No | 71c | 127$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.17 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Yes | 62c | 106.21$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d1…dc9fbacked Yes | 21c | 104.76$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.76 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 37c | 103.5$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.77 | 756 | 58.6%443 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26a4…5a9cbacked Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.45 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…f3a4backed Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.45 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 72c | 98.63$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.01 | 798 | 36%287 W · 511 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed No | 72c | 90.65$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.27 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed No | 76c | 85.14$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.71 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 40c | 80.55$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.28 | 151 | 34.4%52 W · 99 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9735…db39backed No | 73c | 76.14$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.58 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 60c | 66$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 224 | 41.1%92 W · 132 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked No | 78c | 62$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.27 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 72c | 58.38$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.03 | 654 | 47.4%310 W · 344 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed No | 46c | 55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.29 | 34 | 79.4%27 W · 7 L | +7.5wins | +0.22per pick | 57cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 71c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 369 | 51.2%189 W · 180 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed No | 39c | 48.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4b…d965backed No | 70c | 47$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 23c | 44.69$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.41 | 993 | 45.8%455 W · 538 L | +14.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0a…e482backed No | 47c | 41.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 34c | 41.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 151 | 55%83 W · 68 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes | 28c | 37.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.01 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked No | 76c | 33.87$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed Yes | 55c | 33.53$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.21 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +6.7wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed No | 45c | 33.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 116 | 77.6%90 W · 26 L | +23.6wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 77c | 29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb3…9858backed No | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 64cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5dd…490bbacked No | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa806…d49dbacked No | 74c | 22.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…8d69backed No | 75c | 22.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd09…8974backed Yes | 60c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 70c | 21.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 164 | 50%82 W · 82 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 1,713 | 52.8%905 W · 808 L | +31.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2a1fbacked Yes | 69c | 16.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 77c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 560 | 44.6%250 W · 310 L | -15.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe419…8aedbacked Yes | 70c | 15.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-08-28?this page
- Will Wrexham AFC vs. Birmingham City FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-08-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.