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Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-08-27?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$164,704
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$205,530

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $164,704 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd65…ee96backed Yes34c36,534$12,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,034.221492.9%13 W · 1 L+6.3wins+0.45per pick48cpaid+120.4%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed No30c20,000$5,993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,992.9623736.7%87 W · 150 L-14.8wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No68c10,850$7,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,370.281457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick60cpaid+52.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No62c7,004$4,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,313.73,24742.2%1,370 W · 1,877 L+4.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes56c6,073$3,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,642.662,79534.8%973 W · 1,822 L-86.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed No72c5,430$3,906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,905.981,21936.3%442 W · 777 L-18.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No28c5,334$1,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,468.814358%83 W · 60 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb399…9435backed No74c3,689$2,735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,735.155152.9%27 W · 24 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes54c3,667$1,964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,703.252,73840.2%1,100 W · 1,638 L-1.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes51c3,485$1,766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,718.991,22245.3%553 W · 669 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes55c3,273$1,796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,477.1785142%357 W · 494 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked No19c3,000$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.1738431.5%121 W · 263 L-17.4wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-27%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No67c2,933$1,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,967.8377248.8%377 W · 395 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes56c2,777$1,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,208.521,89538.7%734 W · 1,161 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked No66c2,420$1,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,597.7825248.8%123 W · 129 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x580e…88c8backed Yes28c2,060$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,483.38250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+78.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No27c1,908$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.865943.9%289 W · 370 L-1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No66c1,829$1,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,204.641,03450.8%525 W · 509 L+16.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No71c1,756$1,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,244.494551.1%23 W · 22 L-5.8wins-0.13per pick64cpaid-22.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No67c1,500$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0059357%53 W · 40 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No65c1,415$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.8910655.7%59 W · 47 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes33c1,242$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$831.8710442.3%44 W · 60 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No67c1,084$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724.411,29049.1%633 W · 657 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed No72c1,039$748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$748.0814561.4%89 W · 56 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6e0…ff0fbacked No66c1,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+22.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Yes33c999.99$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.999427.7%26 W · 68 L-0.4wins0.00per pick28cpaid-39.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed No69c999$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.313043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes31c823.76$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.7472550.2%364 W · 361 L+20.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes48c714.25$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.3693341.4%386 W · 547 L-15.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaaca…f5d5backed No68c673$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.5322644.2%100 W · 126 L-1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked No68c641$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.8841442.3%175 W · 239 L-1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed No65c637.76$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.543327.3%9 W · 24 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-35.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No67c608.18$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.771,04148%500 W · 541 L+18.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No65c600$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39021648.6%105 W · 111 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No65c600$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3909051.1%46 W · 44 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed No7c561.06$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6410359.2%61 W · 42 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9f8a…01cdbacked No12c501$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.94431.8%14 W · 30 L-0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid+49.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8e4…3b32backed Yes41c495.89$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.699051.1%46 W · 44 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed Yes76c449$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.984854.2%26 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes38c409.57$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.8263249.1%310 W · 322 L+2.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No65c400$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2605954.2%32 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Yes29c389.98$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.8934142.8%146 W · 195 L+0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3491…0242backed No18c330.98$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.581163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+21.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a98…ef19backed No46c326.09$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No60c318$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.5622237.8%84 W · 138 L-14.1wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-25.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No69c311.38$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.0447244.9%212 W · 260 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb68…e362backed No67c300.08$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.29757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed No68c292.64$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19917252.9%91 W · 81 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed No72c287.86$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.2576037.4%284 W · 476 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed No72c281.6$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.751353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes37c279$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.7330345.2%137 W · 166 L+1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No65c272.31$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17747342.1%199 W · 274 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Yes70c254$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.28574.1%63 W · 22 L+9.4wins+0.11per pick63cpaid+18.1%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x15a0…a523backed Yes32c251.53$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.042100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+162.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x94bb…02ccbacked No66c250$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1653050%15 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81a7…7042backed Yes74c231.43$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.3913731.4%43 W · 94 L-10.9wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-42.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf5b2…ee5bbacked Yes28c214.29$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.291921.1%4 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-32.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No65c200$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13010956.9%62 W · 47 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No65c200$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13015558.1%90 W · 65 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No65c200$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1307758.4%45 W · 32 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0693…9679backed No22c197.29$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.35933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick21cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No65c147$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.8934449.1%169 W · 175 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71bf…f6edbacked Yes29c144.83$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.83850%4 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+21.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No13c131$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5483845%377 W · 461 L+14.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes31c129.67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.41,79354.8%983 W · 810 L+11.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x833c…ac24backed Yes32c129$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.187458.1%43 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed No67c125.83$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.3120440.7%83 W · 121 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No65c123.07$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8015243.4%66 W · 86 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed No66c121$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.865935.6%21 W · 38 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4951…3038backed No70c115.23$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.52454.2%13 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes31c111.2$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.7519355.4%107 W · 86 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No65c107.69$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7015544.5%69 W · 86 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4a7…dc87backed No70c106.45$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1950…1bf4backed No71c106.11$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.221361.5%8 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick71cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02b9…60c6backed No66c100$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No69c95.57$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.551,20047.4%569 W · 631 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked No69c89.99$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.4563649.5%315 W · 321 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed No31c86.41$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.815341.5%22 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3653…ef74backed No69c81.53$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.26757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-15.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No68c77.04$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.3989153.4%476 W · 415 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed No69c76.59$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.5310054%54 W · 46 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No70c74.21$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.8849555.4%274 W · 221 L+22.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed Yes67c69.52$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.723245.3%105 W · 127 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc8e…944ebacked No73c68.49$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010766.4%71 W · 36 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick72cpaid-9.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4328…6ffebacked Yes30c66.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes78c64.62$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9218642.5%79 W · 107 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f58…d93abacked No21c61$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.816939.1%27 W · 42 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes29c60$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.916033.8%54 W · 106 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed No22c51.73$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.549852%51 W · 47 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6083…aa55backed No70c51.43$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+31.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e72…ffb9backed No67c50.51$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.84540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-33.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Yes47c49.05$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7554353.8%292 W · 251 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa249…08b6backed No49c49.02$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.021030%3 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-48.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x68f8…12c8backed Yes51c49.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.024761.7%29 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6204…50a2backed Yes32c46.88$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.88560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+45.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b10…2920backed No74c45.18$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.432070%14 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f03…8a0dbacked Yes31c45$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.051266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+15.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b0a…e482backed No47c41.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.544454.5%24 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x403c…7f06backed No72c40.35$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.156454.7%35 W · 29 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed No66c40$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.512765.4%83 W · 44 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.