Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Ferencvárosi TC vs. Trabzonspor end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20ca48107356150dcac9acb39a5987f60afcf7e955818d24c6b8649e76534ae1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,691
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,896
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,691 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 75c | 10,850$8,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,720.53 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 26c | 4,397$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.52 | 1,222 | 45.3%553 W · 669 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4e…5c01backed No | 73c | 2,662$1,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.79 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 25c | 2,334$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.73 | 1,290 | 49.1%633 W · 657 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 27c | 1,814$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.89 | 472 | 44.9%212 W · 260 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 74c | 1,630$1,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.75 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Yes | 24c | 1,594$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.4 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 75c | 1,385$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 2,795 | 34.8%973 W · 1,822 L | -86.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 25c | 1,382$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.51 | 1,034 | 50.8%525 W · 509 L | +16.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 25c | 1,089$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.13 | 2,738 | 40.2%1,100 W · 1,638 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 24c | 960$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.4 | 725 | 50.2%364 W · 361 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed Yes | 26c | 864.59$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.23 | 226 | 44.2%100 W · 126 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 27c | 516.69$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.08 | 760 | 37.4%284 W · 476 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x674b…8284backed No | 76c | 450$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd0…b719backed Yes | 26c | 418.85$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.57 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 26c | 339.77$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.34 | 632 | 49.1%310 W · 322 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 75c | 224.68$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.17 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b2…ee5bbacked Yes | 28c | 214.29$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 25c | 202.01$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 1,200 | 47.4%569 W · 631 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 24c | 200.09$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.02 | 344 | 49.1%169 W · 175 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed No | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed No | 72c | 197.3$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.24 | 145 | 61.4%89 W · 56 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 26c | 157$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.59 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 25c | 131.4$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.35 | 1,793 | 54.8%983 W · 810 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02b9…60c6backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a98…ef19backed Yes | 18c | 95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 76c | 91.65$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 659 | 43.9%289 W · 370 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 75c | 81.53$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.38 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 75c | 75.4$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 28c | 68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 1,219 | 36.3%442 W · 777 L | -18.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 26c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 636 | 49.5%315 W · 321 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef1…4a76backed Yes | 26c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 74c | 50.51$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 495 | 55.4%274 W · 221 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f03…8a0dbacked Yes | 26c | 45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…0935backed No | 78c | 41.5$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 60 | 80%48 W · 12 L | +13.7wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed Yes | 28c | 40.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c9…a4fcbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8a…f7abbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 75c | 33.26$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 75c | 24.02$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed No | 72c | 21.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 331 | 42.9%142 W · 189 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ferencvárosi TC vs. Trabzonspor end in a draw?this page
- Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-08-27?Yes won
- Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-08-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.