Other European Leagues · resolved market
Rio Ave FC vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d5f6d021d4a12880ba3ef6ac2837459cda2359415ae9e27d195d115f5622788
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $111,115
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $110,780
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,115 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5f9…87b0backed Under | 39c | 89,072$34,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,659.2 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 61c | 34,299$20,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,305.48 | 2,123 | 35.5%754 W · 1,369 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 61c | 13,300$8,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,137 | 5,677 | 42%2,382 W · 3,295 L | +74.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Over | 61c | 12,557$7,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,877.64 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 61c | 9,050$5,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,570.22 | 2,103 | 36.6%770 W · 1,333 L | -27.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa36f…180bbacked Over | 57c | 5,987$3,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,574.51 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x712e…0485backed Under | 43c | 5,500$2,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,365 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 61c | 5,000$3,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950 | 801 | 50.1%401 W · 400 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 61c | 4,955$3,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,919.96 | 882 | 50.1%442 W · 440 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Over | 61c | 3,024$1,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.41 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 62c | 1,883$1,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.88 | 2,729 | 35.8%978 W · 1,751 L | -13.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd55e…f0d7backed Over | 59c | 1,700$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Over | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.34 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8412…7fc8backed Under | 43c | 1,494$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 136 | 65.4%89 W · 47 L | +10.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 61c | 931.66$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.35 | 2,167 | 47.9%1,038 W · 1,129 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…683ebacked Over | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +6.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 40c | 394.35$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.08 | 1,507 | 48.1%725 W · 782 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Under | 41c | 369$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.29 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.25per pick | 48cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c1…6b32backed Over | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Under | 41c | 299.99$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Over | 61c | 250.62$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.74 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | +10.7wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Under | 42c | 200$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Over | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 28c | 169.49$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.32 | 2,316 | 42.8%991 W · 1,325 L | -41.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 63c | 123$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.51 | 231 | 51.9%120 W · 111 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 78c | 106$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.83 | 877 | 60.5%531 W · 346 L | +92.8wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 39c | 99.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 286 | 51.7%148 W · 138 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7c…03f9backed Over | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…5a03backed Under | 40c | 67.88$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.28 | 92 | 26.1%24 W · 68 L | -10.6wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Over | 62c | 66$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 270 | 64.8%175 W · 95 L | +15.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 42c | 64$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ab…0dc8backed Over | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 71c | 51.8$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 942 | 44.6%420 W · 522 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Under | 43c | 51.15$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 361 | 53.5%193 W · 168 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Over | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad6…eab6backed Over | 62c | 42.97$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.54 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Over | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 100 | 61%61 W · 39 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1165…e66ebacked Under | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe4…4ab1backed Under | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd0…8788backed Over | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e06…362cbacked Over | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Over | 61c | 33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f65…ec56backed Over | 59c | 32.88$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Over | 62c | 31.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 191 | 61.3%117 W · 74 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 61c | 29.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 1,480 | 37.8%560 W · 920 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Over | 62c | 29.26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87d3…a568backed Over | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.6wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Over | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rio Ave FC vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5this page
- Rio Ave FC vs. Sporting CP: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Rio Ave FC vs. Sporting CP: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Rio Ave FC vs. Sporting CP: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Rio Ave FC vs. Sporting CP: O/U 0.5Over won
- Rio Ave FC vs. Sporting CP: O/U 1.5Over won
- Rio Ave FC vs. Sporting CP: O/U 3.5Over won
- Rio Ave FC vs. Sporting CP: O/U 4.5Under won
- Rio Ave FC vs. Sporting CP: O/U 5.5Under won
- Rio Ave FC vs. Sporting CP: Rio Ave FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Rio Ave FC vs. Sporting CP: Sporting CP O/U 0.5Over won
- Rio Ave FC vs. Sporting CP: Sporting CP O/U 1.5Over won
- Spread: Rio Ave FC (-2.5)Sporting CP won
- Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)Sporting CP won
- Spread: Sporting CP (-2.5)Sporting CP won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.