Other European Leagues · resolved market
Rio Ave FC vs. Sporting CP: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba6423eac79fd297978c71cc8fd9ba9467ba6751917992527c83d3e1e0bb6525
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,671
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,654
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,671 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 24c | 880$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.48 | 585 | 29.1%170 W · 415 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed No | 76c | 657.53$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.81 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 75c | 331.5$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.77 | 2,123 | 35.5%754 W · 1,369 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…9256backed Yes | 20c | 271.43$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 66c | 253.22$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.7 | 2,729 | 35.8%978 W · 1,751 L | -13.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 52c | 250.06$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.03 | 2,167 | 47.9%1,038 W · 1,129 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 48c | 197$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.56 | 231 | 51.9%120 W · 111 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0145…35d0backed Yes | 43c | 139.53$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 286 | 51.7%148 W · 138 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 73c | 92.5$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.15 | 942 | 44.6%420 W · 522 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 39c | 80$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 517 | 56.1%290 W · 227 L | +23.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Yes | 29c | 78.91$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 52c | 63.89$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.69 | 1,507 | 48.1%725 W · 782 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee3…a899backed No | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 48c | 50.27$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 795 | 40.5%322 W · 473 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51d…1578backed Yes | 48c | 44.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 58c | 43.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.18 | 503 | 46.3%233 W · 270 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x473c…22fdbacked No | 52c | 42.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.64 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Yes | 42c | 33.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 191 | 61.3%117 W · 74 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecc0…4800backed No | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rio Ave FC vs. Sporting CP: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Rio Ave FC vs. Sporting CP: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Rio Ave FC vs. Sporting CP: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Rio Ave FC vs. Sporting CP: O/U 0.5Over won
- Rio Ave FC vs. Sporting CP: O/U 1.5Over won
- Rio Ave FC vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5Over won
- Rio Ave FC vs. Sporting CP: O/U 3.5Over won
- Rio Ave FC vs. Sporting CP: O/U 4.5Under won
- Rio Ave FC vs. Sporting CP: O/U 5.5Under won
- Rio Ave FC vs. Sporting CP: Rio Ave FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Rio Ave FC vs. Sporting CP: Sporting CP O/U 0.5Over won
- Rio Ave FC vs. Sporting CP: Sporting CP O/U 1.5Over won
- Spread: Rio Ave FC (-2.5)Sporting CP won
- Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)Sporting CP won
- Spread: Sporting CP (-2.5)Sporting CP won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.